Recent polls in Mato Grosso’s 2026 Senate race show a tight contest for first place, with União Brasil’s Mauro Mendes and MDB’s Janaína Riva leading in consolidated first- and second-preference voting near 25-27% each, ahead of PSD’s Carlos Fávaro, PL’s José Medeiros, and PSB’s Pedro Taques. Party conventions concluded in early August, locking in a field of roughly ten candidates and clarifying alliances around agricultural interests and state governance records. The fragmented right-leaning vote and strong name recognition for the top pair have kept probabilities closely matched in trader assessments, with separation likely hinging on turnout among rural voters or shifts in coalition endorsements before October.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedGalvan 46%
Jose Medeiros 46%
Pedro Taques 46%
Fávaro 44%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Galvan
46%
Jose Medeiros
46%
Pedro Taques
46%
Fávaro
44%
Margareth Buzetti
44%
Coronel Darwin
44%
Janaina Riva
43%
Professor Nelson Ferreira
43%
Beny Godoy
42%
Mauro Mendes
42%
Galvan 46%
Jose Medeiros 46%
Pedro Taques 46%
Fávaro 44%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Galvan
$0 Vol.
46%
Jose Medeiros
$0 Vol.
46%
Pedro Taques
$0 Vol.
46%
Fávaro
$0 Vol.
44%
Margareth Buzetti
$0 Vol.
44%
Coronel Darwin
$0 Vol.
44%
Janaina Riva
$0 Vol.
43%
Professor Nelson Ferreira
$0 Vol.
43%
Beny Godoy
$0 Vol.
42%
Mauro Mendes
$0 Vol.
42%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls in Mato Grosso’s 2026 Senate race show a tight contest for first place, with União Brasil’s Mauro Mendes and MDB’s Janaína Riva leading in consolidated first- and second-preference voting near 25-27% each, ahead of PSD’s Carlos Fávaro, PL’s José Medeiros, and PSB’s Pedro Taques. Party conventions concluded in early August, locking in a field of roughly ten candidates and clarifying alliances around agricultural interests and state governance records. The fragmented right-leaning vote and strong name recognition for the top pair have kept probabilities closely matched in trader assessments, with separation likely hinging on turnout among rural voters or shifts in coalition endorsements before October.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls in Mato Grosso’s 2026 Senate race show a tight contest for first place, with União Brasil’s Mauro Mendes and MDB’s Janaína Riva leading in consolidated first- and second-preference voting near 25-27% each, ahead of PSD’s Carlos Fávaro, PL’s José Medeiros, and PSB’s Pedro Taques. Party conventions concluded in early August, locking in a field of roughly ten candidates and clarifying alliances around agricultural interests and state governance records. The fragmented right-leaning vote and strong name recognition for the top pair have kept probabilities closely matched in trader assessments, with separation likely hinging on turnout among rural voters or shifts in coalition endorsements before October.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls in Mato Grosso’s 2026 Senate race show a tight contest for first place, with União Brasil’s Mauro Mendes and MDB’s Janaína Riva leading in consolidated first- and second-preference voting near 25-27% each, ahead of PSD’s Carlos Fávaro, PL’s José Medeiros, and PSB’s Pedro Taques. Party conventions concluded in early August, locking in a field of roughly ten candidates and clarifying alliances around agricultural interests and state governance records. The fragmented right-leaning vote and strong name recognition for the top pair have kept probabilities closely matched in trader assessments, with separation likely hinging on turnout among rural voters or shifts in coalition endorsements before October.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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