Narendra Modi's third term as India's Prime Minister, secured in the 2024 general election, runs through 2029 with the next Lok Sabha polls not due until April of that year. As of mid-August 2026, no parliamentary no-confidence motion, coalition fracture, or constitutional trigger for early removal has materialized, and the BJP-led NDA maintains its governing position. The July 2026 resignation of Education Minister Dharmendra Pradhan amid youth protests over exam paper leaks marked a rare cabinet concession but did not extend to the prime minister or threaten government stability. Opposition demands remain fragmented without credible pathways to resignation, incapacitation, or removal by year-end. Traders price the low probability of departure accordingly, reflecting the absence of scheduled electoral pressure or acute political catalysts before December 31, 2026.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedModi out by December 31, 2026?
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
7% chance
$230,782 Vol.
$230,782 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
7% chance
$230,782 Vol.
$230,782 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Narendra Modi's third term as India's Prime Minister, secured in the 2024 general election, runs through 2029 with the next Lok Sabha polls not due until April of that year. As of mid-August 2026, no parliamentary no-confidence motion, coalition fracture, or constitutional trigger for early removal has materialized, and the BJP-led NDA maintains its governing position. The July 2026 resignation of Education Minister Dharmendra Pradhan amid youth protests over exam paper leaks marked a rare cabinet concession but did not extend to the prime minister or threaten government stability. Opposition demands remain fragmented without credible pathways to resignation, incapacitation, or removal by year-end. Traders price the low probability of departure accordingly, reflecting the absence of scheduled electoral pressure or acute political catalysts before December 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
Volume
$230,782End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Narendra Modi's third term as India's Prime Minister, secured in the 2024 general election, runs through 2029 with the next Lok Sabha polls not due until April of that year. As of mid-August 2026, no parliamentary no-confidence motion, coalition fracture, or constitutional trigger for early removal has materialized, and the BJP-led NDA maintains its governing position. The July 2026 resignation of Education Minister Dharmendra Pradhan amid youth protests over exam paper leaks marked a rare cabinet concession but did not extend to the prime minister or threaten government stability. Opposition demands remain fragmented without credible pathways to resignation, incapacitation, or removal by year-end. Traders price the low probability of departure accordingly, reflecting the absence of scheduled electoral pressure or acute political catalysts before December 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$230,782End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Narendra Modi's third term as India's Prime Minister, secured in the 2024 general election, runs through 2029 with the next Lok Sabha polls not due until April of that year. As of mid-August 2026, no parliamentary no-confidence motion, coalition fracture, or constitutional trigger for early removal has materialized, and the BJP-led NDA maintains its governing position. The July 2026 resignation of Education Minister Dharmendra Pradhan amid youth protests over exam paper leaks marked a rare cabinet concession but did not extend to the prime minister or threaten government stability. Opposition demands remain fragmented without credible pathways to resignation, incapacitation, or removal by year-end. Traders price the low probability of departure accordingly, reflecting the absence of scheduled electoral pressure or acute political catalysts before December 31, 2026.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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