Meloni’s right-wing coalition has delivered Italy’s longest uninterrupted postwar government, passing 1,400 days in office by early September 2026 and surpassing Silvio Berlusconi’s prior record. She has repeatedly stated her intent to serve until the legislature ends in autumn 2027, citing the stability that has improved Italy’s standing with EU partners and financial markets. Recent polling shows her Brothers of Italy party holding roughly 27 percent support while the broader coalition slips toward 38–40 percent, with votes shifting to the new far-right Futuro Nazionale movement led by Roberto Vannacci. Coalition frictions surfaced in July when an electoral-reform amendment backed by Meloni failed amid defections, and earlier judicial and autonomy initiatives stalled. With the next scheduled vote in 2027, traders weigh the durability of the current majority against gradual erosion from splinter parties and policy setbacks when assessing near-term removal risks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$169,517 Vol.
September 30
1%
December 31
8%
$169,517 Vol.
September 30
1%
December 31
8%
An announcement of Giorgia Melon's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of Italy, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Market Opened: May 20, 2026, 9:52 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Giorgia Melon's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of Italy, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Meloni’s right-wing coalition has delivered Italy’s longest uninterrupted postwar government, passing 1,400 days in office by early September 2026 and surpassing Silvio Berlusconi’s prior record. She has repeatedly stated her intent to serve until the legislature ends in autumn 2027, citing the stability that has improved Italy’s standing with EU partners and financial markets. Recent polling shows her Brothers of Italy party holding roughly 27 percent support while the broader coalition slips toward 38–40 percent, with votes shifting to the new far-right Futuro Nazionale movement led by Roberto Vannacci. Coalition frictions surfaced in July when an electoral-reform amendment backed by Meloni failed amid defections, and earlier judicial and autonomy initiatives stalled. With the next scheduled vote in 2027, traders weigh the durability of the current majority against gradual erosion from splinter parties and policy setbacks when assessing near-term removal risks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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