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Hormoz predictions & odds

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Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

11%

$13M Vol.

$557K today

$336K Liq.

1

Ends in 16 days

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

<1%

$15M Vol.

$550K today

$2M Liq.

2

Ends in about 12 hours

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

38%

$5M Vol.

$354K today

$244K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

52%

June 30

$17M Vol.

$157K today

$261K Liq.

451

Ends in about 2 months

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of May?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of May?

69%

0-10

$185K Vol.

$92.3K today

$80.1K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?

11%

United Kingdom

$871K Vol.

$72.9K today

$225K Liq.

12

Ends in 16 days

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

46%

$101K Vol.

$92.4K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

77%

$104K Vol.

$153K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

64%

20+

$396K Vol.

$27.3K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of May 11?

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of May 11?

51%

20-39

$36.1K Vol.

$36.0K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?

1%

$558K Vol.

$36.0K Liq.

39

Ends in 16 days

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

6%

$413K Vol.

$74.5K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?

What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?

100%

Ship / Chip

$1M Vol.

$1M today

$85.1K Liq.

193

Ends in about 12 hours

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31?

15%

Oil Sanction Relief

$1M Vol.

$104K today

$204K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

What will the Press Secretary say during the next White House press briefing?

What will the Press Secretary say during the next White House press briefing?

81%

Thing 10+ times

$222 Vol.

$611 Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Iran closes its airspace by...?

Iran closes its airspace by...?

47%

June 30

$13M Vol.

$455K today

$285K Liq.

683

Ends in 16 days

Khamenei # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

Khamenei # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

70%

<5

$889 Vol.

$3.7K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Will Trump restart Project Freedom by...?

Will Trump restart Project Freedom by...?

39%

May 31

$118K Vol.

$78.2K today

$97.1K Liq.

3

Ends in 16 days

Khamenei # posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?

Khamenei # posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?

99%

<5

$11.6K Vol.

$6.1K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Bordeaux (Doubles): Halys/Herbert vs Cukierman/Hilderbrand

Bordeaux (Doubles): Halys/Herbert vs Cukierman/Hilderbrand

62%

Halys/Herbert

$0 Vol.

$157 Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Hormoz.

Polymarket currently hosts 119 active markets for Hormoz that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $69.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 52% chance to June 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Hormoz predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.