Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors fewer than 5 posts from @khamenei_ir between May 15 and May 22, reflecting the account's sporadic activity sharing archival statements from the late Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, who is now described as martyred in the bio. Recent weeks show limited output—two posts on May 4 and 5 criticizing U.S. influence and Zionist normalization efforts, followed by silence through May 13—consistent with 1-2 posts per week in April amid Iran-U.S.-Israel escalations. Persistent health rumors surrounding successor Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei, dismissed by officials as minor injuries from recent attacks, have not spurred increased activity, reinforcing expectations of subdued posting absent major diplomatic or military catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKhamenei # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?
Khamenei # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?
<5 84%
5-9 8%
40-44 7.8%
60+ 4.5%
NEW
NEW
May 22, 2026
<5
75%
5-9
8%
10-14
21%
15-19
4%
20-24
5%
25-29
3%
30-34
1%
35-39
16%
40-44
8%
45-49
3%
50-54
3%
55-59
1%
60+
5%
<5 84%
5-9 8%
40-44 7.8%
60+ 4.5%
NEW
NEW
May 22, 2026
<5
$67 Vol.
75%
5-9
$18 Vol.
8%
10-14
$41 Vol.
21%
15-19
$30 Vol.
4%
20-24
$30 Vol.
5%
25-29
$30 Vol.
3%
30-34
$65 Vol.
1%
35-39
$45 Vol.
16%
40-44
$106 Vol.
8%
45-49
$50 Vol.
3%
50-54
$55 Vol.
3%
55-59
$45 Vol.
1%
60+
$110 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors fewer than 5 posts from @khamenei_ir between May 15 and May 22, reflecting the account's sporadic activity sharing archival statements from the late Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, who is now described as martyred in the bio. Recent weeks show limited output—two posts on May 4 and 5 criticizing U.S. influence and Zionist normalization efforts, followed by silence through May 13—consistent with 1-2 posts per week in April amid Iran-U.S.-Israel escalations. Persistent health rumors surrounding successor Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei, dismissed by officials as minor injuries from recent attacks, have not spurred increased activity, reinforcing expectations of subdued posting absent major diplomatic or military catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$693End Date
May 22, 2026Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors fewer than 5 posts from @khamenei_ir between May 15 and May 22, reflecting the account's sporadic activity sharing archival statements from the late Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, who is now described as martyred in the bio. Recent weeks show limited output—two posts on May 4 and 5 criticizing U.S. influence and Zionist normalization efforts, followed by silence through May 13—consistent with 1-2 posts per week in April amid Iran-U.S.-Israel escalations. Persistent health rumors surrounding successor Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei, dismissed by officials as minor injuries from recent attacks, have not spurred increased activity, reinforcing expectations of subdued posting absent major diplomatic or military catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$693End Date
May 22, 2026Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors fewer than 5 posts from @khamenei_ir between May 15 and May 22, reflecting the account's sporadic activity sharing archival statements from the late Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, who is now described as martyred in the bio. Recent weeks show limited output—two posts on May 4 and 5 criticizing U.S. influence and Zionist normalization efforts, followed by silence through May 13—consistent with 1-2 posts per week in April amid Iran-U.S.-Israel escalations. Persistent health rumors surrounding successor Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei, dismissed by officials as minor injuries from recent attacks, have not spurred increased activity, reinforcing expectations of subdued posting absent major diplomatic or military catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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