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Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

$2,801,900 Vol.

Donald Trump 13%

UNRWA 8%

International Court of Justice 5.9%

Yulia Navalnaya 6%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Volume
$2,801,900
End Date
Oct 10, 2026
Created At
Oct 16, 2025, 10:04 PM UTC
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$2,801,900 Vol.

Market icon

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Donald Trump 13%

UNRWA 8%

International Court of Justice 5.9%

Yulia Navalnaya 6%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Market icon

Donald Trump

$1,250,297 Vol.

13%

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UNRWA

$18,682 Vol.

8%

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International Court of Justice

$13,014 Vol.

6%

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Yulia Navalnaya

$28,715 Vol.

6%

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Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

$28,660 Vol.

5%

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Greta Thunberg

$13,131 Vol.

4%

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Volodymyr Zelenskyy

$63,452 Vol.

3%

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Khaled Mashal

$3,234 Vol.

3%

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Narendra Modi

$119,547 Vol.

3%

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Pope Leo XIV

$16,169 Vol.

3%

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Ahmed al-Sharaa

$384,517 Vol.

2%

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António Guterres

$6,206 Vol.

1%

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Elon Musk

$203,700 Vol.

1%

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Benjamin Netanyahu

$61,300 Vol.

1%

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Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

$128,468 Vol.

1%

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Julian Assange

$66,274 Vol.

1%

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Xi Jinping

$76,103 Vol.

1%

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Mohammed bin Salman

$129,244 Vol.

1%

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Charlie Kirk

$138,683 Vol.

1%

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Vladimir Putin

$52,503 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$2,801,900
End Date
Oct 10, 2026
Created At
Oct 16, 2025, 10:04 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.