Vladimir Putin's constitutional amendments secure his presidency until 2030, with no snap elections, impeachment processes, or viable removal mechanisms under the loyal State Duma and Federation Council, anchoring trader consensus at 97.9% for "No" by June 30. Absent credible internal challenges or elite defections amid Russia's Ukraine military operation, his firm control over security apparatus sustains high confidence. Recent health speculations resurfaced after his frail appearance at the May 9 Victory Day parade, but the Kremlin countered on May 12 with video of Putin active in Moscow, dismissing rumors. Realistic shifts could stem from sudden health crisis, successful assassination, or coup by inner circle, though barriers remain substantial.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$2,039,797 Vol.
$2,039,797 Vol.
$2,039,797 Vol.
$2,039,797 Vol.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Dec 17, 2025, 6:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Vladimir Putin's constitutional amendments secure his presidency until 2030, with no snap elections, impeachment processes, or viable removal mechanisms under the loyal State Duma and Federation Council, anchoring trader consensus at 97.9% for "No" by June 30. Absent credible internal challenges or elite defections amid Russia's Ukraine military operation, his firm control over security apparatus sustains high confidence. Recent health speculations resurfaced after his frail appearance at the May 9 Victory Day parade, but the Kremlin countered on May 12 with video of Putin active in Moscow, dismissing rumors. Realistic shifts could stem from sudden health crisis, successful assassination, or coup by inner circle, though barriers remain substantial.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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