United Russia enters the September 2026 State Duma election holding roughly 310 seats and benefits from dominant performance in single-member districts plus extensive administrative resources that have historically secured constitutional majorities. Recent party primaries emphasized war veterans and pro-government figures on lists headed by Dmitry Medvedev, while authorities have adjusted regional turnout and vote-share targets amid polling that places the party near 40-45 percent. These factors underpin trader consensus around the 325-339 seat range, with differentiation among nearby brackets driven by uncertainty over the precise balance between proportional-representation results and single-mandate outcomes. Developments that could consolidate support for higher or lower bands include the scale of managed mobilization, economic pressures influencing turnout, and the final distribution of systemic-opposition votes across the five-percent threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated325–339 35%
340–354 23%
310–324 19.1%
355+ 12%
$184,629 Vol.
$184,629 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
<280
4%
280–294
4%
295–309
8%
310–324
19%
325–339
35%
340–354
23%
355+
12%
325–339 35%
340–354 23%
310–324 19.1%
355+ 12%
$184,629 Vol.
$184,629 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
<280
$26,766 Vol.
4%
280–294
$16,666 Vol.
4%
295–309
$11,877 Vol.
8%
310–324
$14,888 Vol.
19%
325–339
$27,776 Vol.
35%
340–354
$48,646 Vol.
23%
355+
$38,009 Vol.
12%
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia enters the September 2026 State Duma election holding roughly 310 seats and benefits from dominant performance in single-member districts plus extensive administrative resources that have historically secured constitutional majorities. Recent party primaries emphasized war veterans and pro-government figures on lists headed by Dmitry Medvedev, while authorities have adjusted regional turnout and vote-share targets amid polling that places the party near 40-45 percent. These factors underpin trader consensus around the 325-339 seat range, with differentiation among nearby brackets driven by uncertainty over the precise balance between proportional-representation results and single-mandate outcomes. Developments that could consolidate support for higher or lower bands include the scale of managed mobilization, economic pressures influencing turnout, and the final distribution of systemic-opposition votes across the five-percent threshold.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Market Opened: Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
Volume
$184,629End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia enters the September 2026 State Duma election holding roughly 310 seats and benefits from dominant performance in single-member districts plus extensive administrative resources that have historically secured constitutional majorities. Recent party primaries emphasized war veterans and pro-government figures on lists headed by Dmitry Medvedev, while authorities have adjusted regional turnout and vote-share targets amid polling that places the party near 40-45 percent. These factors underpin trader consensus around the 325-339 seat range, with differentiation among nearby brackets driven by uncertainty over the precise balance between proportional-representation results and single-mandate outcomes. Developments that could consolidate support for higher or lower bands include the scale of managed mobilization, economic pressures influencing turnout, and the final distribution of systemic-opposition votes across the five-percent threshold.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volume
$184,629End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia enters the September 2026 State Duma election holding roughly 310 seats and benefits from dominant performance in single-member districts plus extensive administrative resources that have historically secured constitutional majorities. Recent party primaries emphasized war veterans and pro-government figures on lists headed by Dmitry Medvedev, while authorities have adjusted regional turnout and vote-share targets amid polling that places the party near 40-45 percent. These factors underpin trader consensus around the 325-339 seat range, with differentiation among nearby brackets driven by uncertainty over the precise balance between proportional-representation results and single-mandate outcomes. Developments that could consolidate support for higher or lower bands include the scale of managed mobilization, economic pressures influencing turnout, and the final distribution of systemic-opposition votes across the five-percent threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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