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icon for バンクーバー市長選挙の勝者

バンクーバー市長選挙の勝者

icon for バンクーバー市長選挙の勝者

バンクーバー市長選挙の勝者

カリーム・アラム 51%

ケン・シム 29%

ピート・フライ 10.1%

ウィリアム・アザロフ 4.7%

Polymarket

$97,484 Vol.

カリーム・アラム 51%

ケン・シム 29%

ピート・フライ 10.1%

ウィリアム・アザロフ 4.7%

Polymarket

$97,484 Vol.

icon for カリーム・アラム

カリーム・アラム

$37,904 Vol.

51%

icon for ケン・シム

ケン・シム

$17,418 Vol.

29%

icon for ピート・フライ

ピート・フライ

$14,914 Vol.

10%

icon for ウィリアム・アザロフ

ウィリアム・アザロフ

$5,164 Vol.

5%

icon for コリーン・ハードウィック

コリーン・ハードウィック

$2,672 Vol.

1%

icon for ジョン・カウパー

ジョン・カウパー

$3,249 Vol.

1%

icon for カーク・ラポイント

カーク・ラポイント

$2,576 Vol.

1%

icon for レベッカ・ブライ

レベッカ・ブライ

$2,808 Vol.

1%

icon for ショーン・オール

ショーン・オール

$2,098 Vol.

<1%

icon for ティム・ルイス

ティム・ルイス

$5,057 Vol.

<1%

icon for アマンダ・バローズ

アマンダ・バローズ

$1,806 Vol.

<1%

icon for フレッド・ハーディング

フレッド・ハーディング

$1,819 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.Kareem Allam holds the lead in trader consensus for Vancouver's October 17, 2026 mayoral election due to his background as Ken Sim's former chief of staff and 2022 ABC Vancouver campaign manager, combined with his launch of the new Vancouver Liberals party positioning him as a centrist alternative. Incumbent Sim trails amid a fragmented field that includes Green councillor Pete Fry, OneCity's William Azaroff, Vote Vancouver's Rebecca Bligh, and others, which traders expect to split progressive and moderate votes. Recent developments include Allam's formal campaign launch in late 2025, Sim's re-election announcement emphasizing public safety and affordability gains, and the entry of additional candidates in spring 2026, all of which have reinforced Allam's edge in skin-in-the-game pricing without major shifts in the past month.

The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
音量
$97,484
終了日
2026/10/17
マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.Kareem Allam holds the lead in trader consensus for Vancouver's October 17, 2026 mayoral election due to his background as Ken Sim's former chief of staff and 2022 ABC Vancouver campaign manager, combined with his launch of the new Vancouver Liberals party positioning him as a centrist alternative. Incumbent Sim trails amid a fragmented field that includes Green councillor Pete Fry, OneCity's William Azaroff, Vote Vancouver's Rebecca Bligh, and others, which traders expect to split progressive and moderate votes. Recent developments include Allam's formal campaign launch in late 2025, Sim's re-election announcement emphasizing public safety and affordability gains, and the entry of additional candidates in spring 2026, all of which have reinforced Allam's edge in skin-in-the-game pricing without major shifts in the past month.

The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
音量
$97,484
終了日
2026/10/17
マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「バンクーバー市長選挙の勝者」はPolymarket上の12個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「カリーム・アラム」で51%、次いで「ケン・シム」が28%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、51¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に51%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「バンクーバー市長選挙の勝者」は$97.5Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Apr 2, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「バンクーバー市長選挙の勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている12個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「バンクーバー市長選挙の勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「カリーム・アラム」で51%であり、市場がこの結果に51%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ケン・シム」で28%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「バンクーバー市長選挙の勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。