Minnesota House Speaker Lisa Demuth secured the Republican nomination for governor in the August 11, 2026 primary, defeating Mike Lindell and Kendall Qualls by double-digit margins in a multi-candidate field. Her position as legislative leader, combined with broader party support and turnout patterns, produced a decisive result that aligns with the market's near-certain pricing on her as the nominee. Other listed candidates, including Scott Jensen and Jeff Johnson, received negligible support and did not factor meaningfully into the outcome. Late-stage developments such as Lindell's Trump endorsement and Qualls' earlier convention backing failed to close the gap. While recounts or eligibility disputes remain theoretically possible in primary contests, the reported vote totals and rapid projections leave little scope for reversal before certification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLisa Demuth 100.0%
Scott Jensen <1%
Patrick Knight <1%
Chris Madel <1%
$860,603 Vol.
$860,603 Vol.

Lisa Demuth
100%

Scott Jensen
<1%

Patrick Knight
<1%

Chris Madel
<1%

Kendall Qualls
<1%

Jeff Johnson
<1%

Brad Kohler
<1%

Phil Parrish
<1%

Kristin Robbins
<1%

Mike Lindell
<1%
Lisa Demuth 100.0%
Scott Jensen <1%
Patrick Knight <1%
Chris Madel <1%
$860,603 Vol.
$860,603 Vol.

Lisa Demuth
100%

Scott Jensen
<1%

Patrick Knight
<1%

Chris Madel
<1%

Kendall Qualls
<1%

Jeff Johnson
<1%

Brad Kohler
<1%

Phil Parrish
<1%

Kristin Robbins
<1%

Mike Lindell
<1%
If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Market Opened: Dec 10, 2025, 4:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Minnesota House Speaker Lisa Demuth secured the Republican nomination for governor in the August 11, 2026 primary, defeating Mike Lindell and Kendall Qualls by double-digit margins in a multi-candidate field. Her position as legislative leader, combined with broader party support and turnout patterns, produced a decisive result that aligns with the market's near-certain pricing on her as the nominee. Other listed candidates, including Scott Jensen and Jeff Johnson, received negligible support and did not factor meaningfully into the outcome. Late-stage developments such as Lindell's Trump endorsement and Qualls' earlier convention backing failed to close the gap. While recounts or eligibility disputes remain theoretically possible in primary contests, the reported vote totals and rapid projections leave little scope for reversal before certification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions