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Politics·Primaries

Minnesota Governor Democratic Primary Winner

icon for Minnesota Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

Minnesota Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Amy Klobuchar 95%

Bill Gates Jr. 1.1%

Kobey Layne <1%

Steve Simon <1%

Polymarket

$21,980 Vol.

Amy Klobuchar 95%

Bill Gates Jr. 1.1%

Kobey Layne <1%

Steve Simon <1%

Polymarket

$21,980 Vol.

Amy Klobuchar

$15,152 Vol.

95%

Bill Gates Jr.

$2,321 Vol.

1%

Kobey Layne

$292 Vol.

1%

Steve Simon

$2,711 Vol.

<1%

Tim Walz

$1,505 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.U.S. Senator Amy Klobuchar holds a commanding 94.5% implied probability as the Democratic-Farmer-Labor (DFL) nominee for Minnesota governor, driven by her January 2026 campaign launch following incumbent Tim Walz's decision not to seek a third term amid a massive state fraud scandal. Her dominance reflects overwhelming victory in the February DFL caucus straw poll, $4.8 million fundraising haul in early 2026, and the May 13 endorsement from Minnesota Teamsters representing over 50,000 workers. Recent policy pitches on anti-fraud measures and innovation further solidify trader consensus ahead of the August primary. While late-breaking scandals, a high-profile challenger entry, or gaffes could shift odds, her statewide name recognition and open-seat dynamics present significant barriers to rivals like Steve Simon or longshots.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$21,980
End Date
Aug 11, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 5, 2026, 9:09 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.U.S. Senator Amy Klobuchar holds a commanding 94.5% implied probability as the Democratic-Farmer-Labor (DFL) nominee for Minnesota governor, driven by her January 2026 campaign launch following incumbent Tim Walz's decision not to seek a third term amid a massive state fraud scandal. Her dominance reflects overwhelming victory in the February DFL caucus straw poll, $4.8 million fundraising haul in early 2026, and the May 13 endorsement from Minnesota Teamsters representing over 50,000 workers. Recent policy pitches on anti-fraud measures and innovation further solidify trader consensus ahead of the August primary. While late-breaking scandals, a high-profile challenger entry, or gaffes could shift odds, her statewide name recognition and open-seat dynamics present significant barriers to rivals like Steve Simon or longshots.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$21,980
End Date
Aug 11, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 5, 2026, 9:09 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Minnesota Governor Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Amy Klobuchar" at 95%, followed by "Bill Gates Jr." at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 95¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Minnesota Governor Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $22K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Minnesota Governor Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Minnesota Governor Democratic Primary Winner" is "Amy Klobuchar" at 95%, meaning the market assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Bill Gates Jr." at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Minnesota Governor Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.