The fragmented field of over two dozen candidates for Piura's mayoral race has kept implied probabilities tightly clustered near even odds for many entrants, reflecting trader consensus on high uncertainty in the municipal contest. Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi holds the highest share at 33.5%, followed by several others in the low-to-mid 20s, as local party dynamics, regional voting blocs, and limited polling data prevent any single contender from consolidating support. Recent primary filings and candidate registrations have reinforced this dispersion without producing clear frontrunners, while historical turnout patterns in Piura suggest outcomes could shift with late endorsements or coalition signals ahead of election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPiura Mayoral Election Winner
Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi 33%
Alberto Alonso Ordinola Niño 21%
Segundo Buenaventura Chávez Albirena 20%
Mercedes Paola Maza Valencia 16%

Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi
33%

Alberto Alonso Ordinola Niño
21%

Segundo Buenaventura Chávez Albirena
20%

Mercedes Paola Maza Valencia
16%

Jorge Hilton Flores Bazán
22%

Ricardo Eliseo Paulini Palacios
8%

José Luis Morey Requejo
7%

Martín Gerardo Olivares Chanduví
6%

Javier Fernando Miguel Atkins Lerggios
16%

John Alexander Do Santos Ocmin
13%

Walther Guerrero Silva
21%

Guillermo Chávez Timoteo
18%

Kelly Ann Stefany Morillas Bogado
19%

Carlos Eduardo Cruz Michilot
20%

Paul Anthony Lizama Quinde
33%
Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi 33%
Alberto Alonso Ordinola Niño 21%
Segundo Buenaventura Chávez Albirena 20%
Mercedes Paola Maza Valencia 16%

Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi
33%

Alberto Alonso Ordinola Niño
21%

Segundo Buenaventura Chávez Albirena
20%

Mercedes Paola Maza Valencia
16%

Jorge Hilton Flores Bazán
22%

Ricardo Eliseo Paulini Palacios
8%

José Luis Morey Requejo
7%

Martín Gerardo Olivares Chanduví
6%

Javier Fernando Miguel Atkins Lerggios
16%

John Alexander Do Santos Ocmin
13%

Walther Guerrero Silva
21%

Guillermo Chávez Timoteo
18%

Kelly Ann Stefany Morillas Bogado
19%

Carlos Eduardo Cruz Michilot
20%

Paul Anthony Lizama Quinde
33%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Piura as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 12:52 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Piura as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The fragmented field of over two dozen candidates for Piura's mayoral race has kept implied probabilities tightly clustered near even odds for many entrants, reflecting trader consensus on high uncertainty in the municipal contest. Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi holds the highest share at 33.5%, followed by several others in the low-to-mid 20s, as local party dynamics, regional voting blocs, and limited polling data prevent any single contender from consolidating support. Recent primary filings and candidate registrations have reinforced this dispersion without producing clear frontrunners, while historical turnout patterns in Piura suggest outcomes could shift with late endorsements or coalition signals ahead of election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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