The 2026 Saxony-Anhalt Landtag election on September 6 produced a record turnout of 77.8 percent, a 17.5-point increase from 60.3 percent in 2021 and the highest level in state history. Traders assigned near-certain probability to an increase because pre-election indicators, including elevated media coverage of the AfD’s polling surge, sharp polarization across major parties, and unusually high early and absentee ballot activity, pointed to stronger voter mobilization than in prior cycles. The confirmed results aligned with these signals, reflecting broad participation across demographic groups amid a competitive contest that featured the first time the AfD led a German state election. Residual uncertainty remains limited to any final certified adjustments by electoral authorities, though historical precedent shows such revisions rarely alter turnout figures materially.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedUp
>99% chance
NEW
NEW
Jan 31, 2027
Up
>99% chance
NEW
NEW
Jan 31, 2027
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 60.3%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 60.3%.
If the reported turnout is exactly 60.3%, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.
The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.
If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Statistisches Landesamt Sachsen-Anhalt (https://statistik.sachsen-anhalt.de/themen/gebiet-und-wahlen/wahlen) and the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).The 2026 Saxony-Anhalt Landtag election on September 6 produced a record turnout of 77.8 percent, a 17.5-point increase from 60.3 percent in 2021 and the highest level in state history. Traders assigned near-certain probability to an increase because pre-election indicators, including elevated media coverage of the AfD’s polling surge, sharp polarization across major parties, and unusually high early and absentee ballot activity, pointed to stronger voter mobilization than in prior cycles. The confirmed results aligned with these signals, reflecting broad participation across demographic groups amid a competitive contest that featured the first time the AfD led a German state election. Residual uncertainty remains limited to any final certified adjustments by electoral authorities, though historical precedent shows such revisions rarely alter turnout figures materially.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 60.3%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 60.3%.
If the reported turnout is exactly 60.3%, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.
The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.
If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Statistisches Landesamt Sachsen-Anhalt (https://statistik.sachsen-anhalt.de/themen/gebiet-und-wahlen/wahlen) and the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 60.3%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 60.3%.
If the reported turnout is exactly 60.3%, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.
The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.
If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Statistisches Landesamt Sachsen-Anhalt (https://statistik.sachsen-anhalt.de/themen/gebiet-und-wahlen/wahlen) and the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 8:44 PM ET
Volume
$6,712End Date
Feb 1, 2027Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 8:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 60.3%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 60.3%.
If the reported turnout is exactly 60.3%, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.
The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.
If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Statistisches Landesamt Sachsen-Anhalt (https://statistik.sachsen-anhalt.de/themen/gebiet-und-wahlen/wahlen) and the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).The 2026 Saxony-Anhalt Landtag election on September 6 produced a record turnout of 77.8 percent, a 17.5-point increase from 60.3 percent in 2021 and the highest level in state history. Traders assigned near-certain probability to an increase because pre-election indicators, including elevated media coverage of the AfD’s polling surge, sharp polarization across major parties, and unusually high early and absentee ballot activity, pointed to stronger voter mobilization than in prior cycles. The confirmed results aligned with these signals, reflecting broad participation across demographic groups amid a competitive contest that featured the first time the AfD led a German state election. Residual uncertainty remains limited to any final certified adjustments by electoral authorities, though historical precedent shows such revisions rarely alter turnout figures materially.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 60.3%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 60.3%.
If the reported turnout is exactly 60.3%, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.
The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.
If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Statistisches Landesamt Sachsen-Anhalt (https://statistik.sachsen-anhalt.de/themen/gebiet-und-wahlen/wahlen) and the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 60.3%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 60.3%.
If the reported turnout is exactly 60.3%, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.
The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.
If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Statistisches Landesamt Sachsen-Anhalt (https://statistik.sachsen-anhalt.de/themen/gebiet-und-wahlen/wahlen) and the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Volume
$6,712End Date
Feb 1, 2027Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 8:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 2026 Saxony-Anhalt Landtag election on September 6 produced a record turnout of 77.8 percent, a 17.5-point increase from 60.3 percent in 2021 and the highest level in state history. Traders assigned near-certain probability to an increase because pre-election indicators, including elevated media coverage of the AfD’s polling surge, sharp polarization across major parties, and unusually high early and absentee ballot activity, pointed to stronger voter mobilization than in prior cycles. The confirmed results aligned with these signals, reflecting broad participation across demographic groups amid a competitive contest that featured the first time the AfD led a German state election. Residual uncertainty remains limited to any final certified adjustments by electoral authorities, though historical precedent shows such revisions rarely alter turnout figures materially.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions