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Strait Of Hormuz predictions & odds

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Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

15%

$5M Vol.

$307K today

$336K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

1%

$39M Vol.

$271K today

$345K Liq.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

39%

$11M Vol.

$170K today

$420K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30?

93%

40+

$3M Vol.

$116K today

$138K Liq.

Ends in about 14 hours

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

83%

$3M Vol.

$436K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of June?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of June?

82%

20-40

$452K Vol.

$72.6K today

$162K Liq.

Ends in about 14 hours

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?

6%

$347K Vol.

$60.5K today

$119K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

7%

Qatar

$1M Vol.

$198K Liq.

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?

94%

40+

$26.9K Vol.

$94.2K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of June 29?

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of June 29?

87%

150+

$12.7K Vol.

$92.4K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of June 22?

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of June 22?

98%

100+

$73.8K Vol.

$48.6K Liq.

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of July?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of July?

31%

20-40

$3.5K Vol.

$91.3K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?

<1%

$27.3K Vol.

$28.1K Liq.

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

<1%

Enrichment of Uranium

$13M Vol.

$59.0K today

$269K Liq.

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

4%

August 31

$60M Vol.

$319K today

$862K Liq.

459

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

1%

$1M Vol.

$169K Liq.

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

11%

September 30

$5M Vol.

$200K Liq.

139

Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

46%

August 31

$69.7K Vol.

$53.0K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by..?

0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by..?

14%

July 31

$2.5K Vol.

$41.6K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

US announces blockade on Iran by...?

US announces blockade on Iran by...?

32%

December 31

$367K Vol.

$189K Liq.

4

Ends in 6 months

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 22 active markets for Strait Of Hormuz that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $145.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 4% chance to August 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

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