Skip to main content
icon for Next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands
Politics·New Zealand

Next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands

icon for Next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands
Politics·New Zealand

Next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands

Mark Brown 42%

Tina Browne 42%

Teariki Heather 42%

Polymarket
NEW

Mark Brown 42%

Tina Browne 42%

Teariki Heather 42%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Mark Brown

Mark Brown

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Tina Browne

Tina Browne

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Teariki Heather

Teariki Heather

$0 Vol.

42%

Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Cook Islands; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The upcoming 12 August 2026 general election drives tight probabilities across multiple candidates for the next prime minister, with no single contender exceeding a narrow implied edge. Incumbent Mark Brown of the Cook Islands Party holds 12 seats from the prior term and leads a government that has faced opposition criticism over foreign partnerships and domestic proposals, while Democratic Party leader Tina Browne and Cook Islands United Party leader Teariki Heather head the main challengers with five and three seats respectively. A fragmented parliament, reliance on independents for majorities, and recent procedural steps including parliament's dissolution keep outcomes fluid. Post-election coalition negotiations and any shifts in voter turnout or candidate endorsements within the coming weeks could quickly alter the distribution of probabilities.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Cook Islands; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0
End Date
Aug 12, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 16, 2026, 9:55 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Cook Islands; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Cook Islands; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The upcoming 12 August 2026 general election drives tight probabilities across multiple candidates for the next prime minister, with no single contender exceeding a narrow implied edge. Incumbent Mark Brown of the Cook Islands Party holds 12 seats from the prior term and leads a government that has faced opposition criticism over foreign partnerships and domestic proposals, while Democratic Party leader Tina Browne and Cook Islands United Party leader Teariki Heather head the main challengers with five and three seats respectively. A fragmented parliament, reliance on independents for majorities, and recent procedural steps including parliament's dissolution keep outcomes fluid. Post-election coalition negotiations and any shifts in voter turnout or candidate endorsements within the coming weeks could quickly alter the distribution of probabilities.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Cook Islands; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0
End Date
Aug 12, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 16, 2026, 9:55 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Cook Islands; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related

icon for Ethereum Up or Down

Ethereum Up or Down

50%
Up
icon for BNB Up or Down

BNB Up or Down

50%
Up
icon for Hyperliquid Up or Down

Hyperliquid Up or Down

50%
Up

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Mark Brown" at 42%, followed by "Tina Browne" at 42%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 42¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 16, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands" is "Mark Brown" at 42%, meaning the market assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Tina Browne" at 42%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.