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Elections·New Zealand Election

Next Prime Minister of New Zealand?

icon for Next Prime Minister of New Zealand?
Elections·New Zealand Election

Next Prime Minister of New Zealand?

Chris Hipkins 54%

Christopher Luxon 44%

Nicola Willis 3.6%

Winston Peters 1.0%

Polymarket

$10,163 Vol.

Chris Hipkins 54%

Christopher Luxon 44%

Nicola Willis 3.6%

Winston Peters 1.0%

Polymarket

$10,163 Vol.

icon for Chris Hipkins

Chris Hipkins

$2,848 Vol.

54%

icon for Christopher Luxon

Christopher Luxon

$2,145 Vol.

44%

icon for Nicola Willis

Nicola Willis

$1,231 Vol.

4%

icon for Winston Peters

Winston Peters

$1,214 Vol.

1%

icon for Carmel Sepuloni

Carmel Sepuloni

$967 Vol.

1%

icon for Chlöe Swarbrick

Chlöe Swarbrick

$905 Vol.

<1%

icon for David Seymour

David Seymour

$854 Vol.

<1%

A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of New Zealand following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the Governor-General as Prime Minister of New Zealand. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of New Zealand; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polling shows the November 2026 election remains highly competitive, with Labour and the Greens frequently matching or exceeding National-led coalition support and Hipkins holding an edge over Luxon as preferred prime minister in several surveys. Economic conditions, including sluggish growth and unemployment trends, have weighed on the incumbent government's standing, narrowing Luxon's path while boosting opposition prospects. The tight market spread between Luxon and Hipkins reflects this uncertainty in final seat counts and coalition formation, where minor-party outcomes involving Peters, Willis, or Swarbrick could tip the balance. Late-campaign shifts in voter turnout or policy focus on cost-of-living issues remain key variables that could widen separation before election day.

A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of New Zealand following the 2026 General elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the Governor-General as Prime Minister of New Zealand. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of New Zealand; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$10,163
Date de fin
7 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 29, 2026, 7:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of New Zealand following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the Governor-General as Prime Minister of New Zealand. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of New Zealand; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of New Zealand following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the Governor-General as Prime Minister of New Zealand. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of New Zealand; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polling shows the November 2026 election remains highly competitive, with Labour and the Greens frequently matching or exceeding National-led coalition support and Hipkins holding an edge over Luxon as preferred prime minister in several surveys. Economic conditions, including sluggish growth and unemployment trends, have weighed on the incumbent government's standing, narrowing Luxon's path while boosting opposition prospects. The tight market spread between Luxon and Hipkins reflects this uncertainty in final seat counts and coalition formation, where minor-party outcomes involving Peters, Willis, or Swarbrick could tip the balance. Late-campaign shifts in voter turnout or policy focus on cost-of-living issues remain key variables that could widen separation before election day.

A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of New Zealand following the 2026 General elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the Governor-General as Prime Minister of New Zealand. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of New Zealand; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$10,163
Date de fin
7 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 29, 2026, 7:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of New Zealand following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the Governor-General as Prime Minister of New Zealand. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of New Zealand; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Questions fréquentes

« Next Prime Minister of New Zealand? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 7 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Chris Hipkins » à 54%, suivi de « Christopher Luxon » à 44%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 54¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 54% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Next Prime Minister of New Zealand? » a généré $10.2K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Apr 29, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Next Prime Minister of New Zealand? », parcourez les 7 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Next Prime Minister of New Zealand? » est « Chris Hipkins » à 54%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 54% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Christopher Luxon » à 44%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Next Prime Minister of New Zealand? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.