Johnny Chiang of the Kuomintang holds the leading position in the Taichung mayoral race ahead of the November 28 local elections, with traders assigning him an 81.5% implied probability compared to 18.8% for Democratic Progressive Party nominee Ho Hsin-chun. KMT internal polling secured Chiang the nomination over legislator Yang Chiung-ying in March, delivering party unity and the endorsement of term-limited incumbent Lu Shiow-yen. Most telephone and AI-simulated polls since September show Chiang ahead by margins of 6–13 points, reflecting stronger support in key districts and higher perceived electability, though one early-November survey placed Ho ahead by 10.7 points amid calls for change. Recent campaign activity, including policy presentations on transportation reforms and AI-driven public safety, has not materially shifted the market consensus. Minor candidates remain at negligible levels.