Spain’s minority government under Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez faces sustained pressure from corruption investigations involving PSOE figures and associates, prompting a June 2026 non-binding congressional resolution—backed by the PP, Vox, and Junts—urging resignation or a confidence vote. Sánchez has rejected both options and affirmed his intent to serve until scheduled 2027 elections. Opposition parties have withheld a formal no-confidence motion, citing insufficient votes to reach the 176-seat majority required in the 350-seat Congress. Junts’s withdrawal of legislative support has further isolated the government, while recent polls show mixed PSOE standing amid regional issues such as the Ceuta migration situation. These parliamentary arithmetic constraints and Sánchez’s refusal to trigger early elections or a confidence test remain the central factors shaping assessments of any near-term no-confidence outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$21,000 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31
16%
$21,000 Vol.
December 31
$6,632 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez or the sitting Government of Spain is voted upon in the Congress of Deputies of Spain by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez or the sitting Government of Spain is voted upon in the Congress of Deputies of Spain by June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez or the sitting Government of Spain is voted upon in the Congress of Deputies of Spain by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain’s minority government under Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez faces sustained pressure from corruption investigations involving PSOE figures and associates, prompting a June 2026 non-binding congressional resolution—backed by the PP, Vox, and Junts—urging resignation or a confidence vote. Sánchez has rejected both options and affirmed his intent to serve until scheduled 2027 elections. Opposition parties have withheld a formal no-confidence motion, citing insufficient votes to reach the 176-seat majority required in the 350-seat Congress. Junts’s withdrawal of legislative support has further isolated the government, while recent polls show mixed PSOE standing amid regional issues such as the Ceuta migration situation. These parliamentary arithmetic constraints and Sánchez’s refusal to trigger early elections or a confidence test remain the central factors shaping assessments of any near-term no-confidence outcome.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez or the sitting Government of Spain is voted upon in the Congress of Deputies of Spain by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jun 30, 2026, 3:44 PM ET
Volume
$21,000End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jun 30, 2026, 3:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez or the sitting Government of Spain is voted upon in the Congress of Deputies of Spain by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez or the sitting Government of Spain is voted upon in the Congress of Deputies of Spain by June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez or the sitting Government of Spain is voted upon in the Congress of Deputies of Spain by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain’s minority government under Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez faces sustained pressure from corruption investigations involving PSOE figures and associates, prompting a June 2026 non-binding congressional resolution—backed by the PP, Vox, and Junts—urging resignation or a confidence vote. Sánchez has rejected both options and affirmed his intent to serve until scheduled 2027 elections. Opposition parties have withheld a formal no-confidence motion, citing insufficient votes to reach the 176-seat majority required in the 350-seat Congress. Junts’s withdrawal of legislative support has further isolated the government, while recent polls show mixed PSOE standing amid regional issues such as the Ceuta migration situation. These parliamentary arithmetic constraints and Sánchez’s refusal to trigger early elections or a confidence test remain the central factors shaping assessments of any near-term no-confidence outcome.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez or the sitting Government of Spain is voted upon in the Congress of Deputies of Spain by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$21,000End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jun 30, 2026, 3:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Spain’s minority government under Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez faces sustained pressure from corruption investigations involving PSOE figures and associates, prompting a June 2026 non-binding congressional resolution—backed by the PP, Vox, and Junts—urging resignation or a confidence vote. Sánchez has rejected both options and affirmed his intent to serve until scheduled 2027 elections. Opposition parties have withheld a formal no-confidence motion, citing insufficient votes to reach the 176-seat majority required in the 350-seat Congress. Junts’s withdrawal of legislative support has further isolated the government, while recent polls show mixed PSOE standing amid regional issues such as the Ceuta migration situation. These parliamentary arithmetic constraints and Sánchez’s refusal to trigger early elections or a confidence test remain the central factors shaping assessments of any near-term no-confidence outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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