Traders assess a low 4% chance of Pedro Sánchez ceasing to serve as Spain's Prime Minister by June 30, 2026, and 19% by year-end, reflecting his entrenched minority government reliant on Sumar and regional allies like Catalan and Basque parties, with no active no-confidence motion from opposition PP or Vox—who lack the absolute majority needed in parliament. Recent PSOE defeats in February 2026 regional elections in Aragón, Castilla y León, and Andalucía, plus Vox re-entering a regional coalition in April, underscore national vulnerabilities, yet Sánchez has reaffirmed his 2027 re-election bid amid policy pushes like legalizing 500,000 immigrants by June's end. No snap election looms despite past speculation, with the next general vote due by August 2027; coalition strains over budgets or foreign policy stances could shift odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?
$158,505 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
June 30, 2026
4%
December 31, 2026
17%
$158,505 Vol.
June 30, 2026
$109,680 Vol.
4%
December 31, 2026
$48,826 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pedro Sánchez ceases to be Prime Minister of Spain for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders assess a low 4% chance of Pedro Sánchez ceasing to serve as Spain's Prime Minister by June 30, 2026, and 19% by year-end, reflecting his entrenched minority government reliant on Sumar and regional allies like Catalan and Basque parties, with no active no-confidence motion from opposition PP or Vox—who lack the absolute majority needed in parliament. Recent PSOE defeats in February 2026 regional elections in Aragón, Castilla y León, and Andalucía, plus Vox re-entering a regional coalition in April, underscore national vulnerabilities, yet Sánchez has reaffirmed his 2027 re-election bid amid policy pushes like legalizing 500,000 immigrants by June's end. No snap election looms despite past speculation, with the next general vote due by August 2027; coalition strains over budgets or foreign policy stances could shift odds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pedro Sánchez ceases to be Prime Minister of Spain for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Dec 2, 2025, 6:25 PM ET
Volume
$158,505End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Dec 2, 2025, 6:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pedro Sánchez ceases to be Prime Minister of Spain for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders assess a low 4% chance of Pedro Sánchez ceasing to serve as Spain's Prime Minister by June 30, 2026, and 19% by year-end, reflecting his entrenched minority government reliant on Sumar and regional allies like Catalan and Basque parties, with no active no-confidence motion from opposition PP or Vox—who lack the absolute majority needed in parliament. Recent PSOE defeats in February 2026 regional elections in Aragón, Castilla y León, and Andalucía, plus Vox re-entering a regional coalition in April, underscore national vulnerabilities, yet Sánchez has reaffirmed his 2027 re-election bid amid policy pushes like legalizing 500,000 immigrants by June's end. No snap election looms despite past speculation, with the next general vote due by August 2027; coalition strains over budgets or foreign policy stances could shift odds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pedro Sánchez ceases to be Prime Minister of Spain for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$158,505End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Dec 2, 2025, 6:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assess a low 4% chance of Pedro Sánchez ceasing to serve as Spain's Prime Minister by June 30, 2026, and 19% by year-end, reflecting his entrenched minority government reliant on Sumar and regional allies like Catalan and Basque parties, with no active no-confidence motion from opposition PP or Vox—who lack the absolute majority needed in parliament. Recent PSOE defeats in February 2026 regional elections in Aragón, Castilla y León, and Andalucía, plus Vox re-entering a regional coalition in April, underscore national vulnerabilities, yet Sánchez has reaffirmed his 2027 re-election bid amid policy pushes like legalizing 500,000 immigrants by June's end. No snap election looms despite past speculation, with the next general vote due by August 2027; coalition strains over budgets or foreign policy stances could shift odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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