Trader consensus prices near-certainty on President Trump speaking with Xi Jinping (99.9%) and Elon Musk (99%) during May 1–31, driven by Trump's arrival in Beijing today for a bilateral summit scheduled May 13–15, including high-level talks on trade tariffs, AI competition, Taiwan arms sales, and Iran tensions amid a fragile U.S.-Iran ceasefire. Musk accompanies as an advisor in the U.S. delegation, ensuring verbal interaction. Mid-tier odds for Vladimir Putin (63%) reflect an April phone call on Ukraine peace talks and potential follow-ups before the G7 summit June 15–17, while European leaders like Emmanuel Macron (58%) and Volodymyr Zelenskyy (55%) see elevated probabilities from ongoing NATO diplomacy. No May verbal exchanges confirmed yet via credible reporting; timely media coverage or official statements required for resolution by May 31.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$589,838 Vol.

Xi Jinping
100%

Elon Musk
99%

Vladimir Putin
63%

Emmanuel Macron
56%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy
54%

Friedrich Merz
33%

Mark Rutte
40%

Keir Starmer
40%

Mark Carney
31%

Ahmed al-Sharaa
6%

Maria Corina Machado
6%

Pope Leo XIV
5%

Reza Pahlavi
5%

Kim Jong Un
4%

Masoud Pezeshkian
3%

Yoon Suk Yeol
1%

Nicolás Maduro
1%
$589,838 Vol.

Xi Jinping
100%

Elon Musk
99%

Vladimir Putin
63%

Emmanuel Macron
56%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy
54%

Friedrich Merz
33%

Mark Rutte
40%

Keir Starmer
40%

Mark Carney
31%

Ahmed al-Sharaa
6%

Maria Corina Machado
6%

Pope Leo XIV
5%

Reza Pahlavi
5%

Kim Jong Un
4%

Masoud Pezeshkian
3%

Yoon Suk Yeol
1%

Nicolás Maduro
1%
Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered.
Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question.
If the date/time of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
Market Opened: Apr 30, 2026, 6:34 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered.
Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question.
If the date/time of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices near-certainty on President Trump speaking with Xi Jinping (99.9%) and Elon Musk (99%) during May 1–31, driven by Trump's arrival in Beijing today for a bilateral summit scheduled May 13–15, including high-level talks on trade tariffs, AI competition, Taiwan arms sales, and Iran tensions amid a fragile U.S.-Iran ceasefire. Musk accompanies as an advisor in the U.S. delegation, ensuring verbal interaction. Mid-tier odds for Vladimir Putin (63%) reflect an April phone call on Ukraine peace talks and potential follow-ups before the G7 summit June 15–17, while European leaders like Emmanuel Macron (58%) and Volodymyr Zelenskyy (55%) see elevated probabilities from ongoing NATO diplomacy. No May verbal exchanges confirmed yet via credible reporting; timely media coverage or official statements required for resolution by May 31.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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