Skip to main content
icon for Who will Trump speak to in May?

Who will Trump speak to in May?

icon for Who will Trump speak to in May?

Who will Trump speak to in May?

May 31

May 31

$589,838 Vol.

May 31, 2026
Polymarket

$589,838 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Xi Jinping

Xi Jinping

$164,815 Vol.

100%

icon for Elon Musk

Elon Musk

$43,610 Vol.

99%

icon for Vladimir Putin

Vladimir Putin

$26,831 Vol.

63%

icon for Emmanuel Macron

Emmanuel Macron

$21,644 Vol.

56%

icon for Volodymyr Zelenskyy

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

$23,689 Vol.

54%

icon for Friedrich Merz

Friedrich Merz

$4,808 Vol.

33%

icon for Mark Rutte

Mark Rutte

$7,120 Vol.

40%

icon for Keir Starmer

Keir Starmer

$11,364 Vol.

40%

icon for Mark Carney

Mark Carney

$3,421 Vol.

31%

icon for Ahmed al-Sharaa

Ahmed al-Sharaa

$5,128 Vol.

6%

icon for Maria Corina Machado

Maria Corina Machado

$6,356 Vol.

6%

icon for Pope Leo XIV

Pope Leo XIV

$18,824 Vol.

5%

icon for Reza Pahlavi

Reza Pahlavi

$18,823 Vol.

5%

icon for Kim Jong Un

Kim Jong Un

$8,743 Vol.

4%

icon for Masoud Pezeshkian

Masoud Pezeshkian

$10,366 Vol.

3%

icon for Yoon Suk Yeol

Yoon Suk Yeol

$6,742 Vol.

1%

icon for Nicolás Maduro

Nicolás Maduro

$26,438 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual speaks with Donald Trump between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered. Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question. If the date/time of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.Trader consensus prices near-certainty on President Trump speaking with Xi Jinping (99.9%) and Elon Musk (99%) during May 1–31, driven by Trump's arrival in Beijing today for a bilateral summit scheduled May 13–15, including high-level talks on trade tariffs, AI competition, Taiwan arms sales, and Iran tensions amid a fragile U.S.-Iran ceasefire. Musk accompanies as an advisor in the U.S. delegation, ensuring verbal interaction. Mid-tier odds for Vladimir Putin (63%) reflect an April phone call on Ukraine peace talks and potential follow-ups before the G7 summit June 15–17, while European leaders like Emmanuel Macron (58%) and Volodymyr Zelenskyy (55%) see elevated probabilities from ongoing NATO diplomacy. No May verbal exchanges confirmed yet via credible reporting; timely media coverage or official statements required for resolution by May 31.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual speaks with Donald Trump between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.

The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered.

Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question.

If the date/time of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
Volume
$589,838
End Date
May 31, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 30, 2026, 6:34 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual speaks with Donald Trump between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered. Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question. If the date/time of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual speaks with Donald Trump between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered. Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question. If the date/time of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.Trader consensus prices near-certainty on President Trump speaking with Xi Jinping (99.9%) and Elon Musk (99%) during May 1–31, driven by Trump's arrival in Beijing today for a bilateral summit scheduled May 13–15, including high-level talks on trade tariffs, AI competition, Taiwan arms sales, and Iran tensions amid a fragile U.S.-Iran ceasefire. Musk accompanies as an advisor in the U.S. delegation, ensuring verbal interaction. Mid-tier odds for Vladimir Putin (63%) reflect an April phone call on Ukraine peace talks and potential follow-ups before the G7 summit June 15–17, while European leaders like Emmanuel Macron (58%) and Volodymyr Zelenskyy (55%) see elevated probabilities from ongoing NATO diplomacy. No May verbal exchanges confirmed yet via credible reporting; timely media coverage or official statements required for resolution by May 31.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual speaks with Donald Trump between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.

The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered.

Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question.

If the date/time of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
Volume
$589,838
End Date
May 31, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 30, 2026, 6:34 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual speaks with Donald Trump between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered. Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question. If the date/time of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will Trump speak to in May?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 20 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Xi Jinping" at 100%, followed by "Mohammed bin Salman" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will Trump speak to in May?" has generated $589.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 30, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will Trump speak to in May?," browse the 20 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will Trump speak to in May?" is "Xi Jinping" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Mohammed bin Salman" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will Trump speak to in May?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.