Trader consensus reflects near-certainty at 99.8% against a US announcement shutting down the Gaza military center—likely referring to the Civil-Military Coordination Centre (CMCC) in southern Israel—by May 15, driven by the absence of any official White House, Department of Defense, or State Department statement despite early May Reuters reporting on potential closure amid stalling Trump administration Gaza stabilization efforts. The UN-backed Board of Peace swiftly denied shutdown plans, affirming the center's role in ceasefire monitoring and aid oversight remains operational after scaling back. With the deadline two days away and no escalation signals in fragile Israel-Hamas truce dynamics, traders see slim odds of a late announcement; only a sudden diplomatic rupture or policy reversal could shift this.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
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May 15, 2026
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May 15, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States government or military publicly announces that the Civil Military Coordination Center (CMCC) located in Kiryat Gat, Israel will be shut down, absorbed into a successor entity, or that all United States military personnel will be withdrawn from the Center, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the announced shutdown, closure, transition, or withdrawal has actually occurred.
Announcements of partial personnel reductions will not alone qualify. However, an announcement that CMCC will be absorbed into a successor entity may qualify even if some US military personnel remain in the successor entity.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trader consensus reflects near-certainty at 99.8% against a US announcement shutting down the Gaza military center—likely referring to the Civil-Military Coordination Centre (CMCC) in southern Israel—by May 15, driven by the absence of any official White House, Department of Defense, or State Department statement despite early May Reuters reporting on potential closure amid stalling Trump administration Gaza stabilization efforts. The UN-backed Board of Peace swiftly denied shutdown plans, affirming the center's role in ceasefire monitoring and aid oversight remains operational after scaling back. With the deadline two days away and no escalation signals in fragile Israel-Hamas truce dynamics, traders see slim odds of a late announcement; only a sudden diplomatic rupture or policy reversal could shift this.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States government or military publicly announces that the Civil Military Coordination Center (CMCC) located in Kiryat Gat, Israel will be shut down, absorbed into a successor entity, or that all United States military personnel will be withdrawn from the Center, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the announced shutdown, closure, transition, or withdrawal has actually occurred.
Announcements of partial personnel reductions will not alone qualify. However, an announcement that CMCC will be absorbed into a successor entity may qualify even if some US military personnel remain in the successor entity.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying announcement within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the announced shutdown, closure, transition, or withdrawal has actually occurred.
Announcements of partial personnel reductions will not alone qualify. However, an announcement that CMCC will be absorbed into a successor entity may qualify even if some US military personnel remain in the successor entity.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: May 1, 2026, 5:55 PM ET
Volume
$9,189End Date
May 15, 2026Market Opened
May 1, 2026, 5:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States government or military publicly announces that the Civil Military Coordination Center (CMCC) located in Kiryat Gat, Israel will be shut down, absorbed into a successor entity, or that all United States military personnel will be withdrawn from the Center, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the announced shutdown, closure, transition, or withdrawal has actually occurred.
Announcements of partial personnel reductions will not alone qualify. However, an announcement that CMCC will be absorbed into a successor entity may qualify even if some US military personnel remain in the successor entity.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trader consensus reflects near-certainty at 99.8% against a US announcement shutting down the Gaza military center—likely referring to the Civil-Military Coordination Centre (CMCC) in southern Israel—by May 15, driven by the absence of any official White House, Department of Defense, or State Department statement despite early May Reuters reporting on potential closure amid stalling Trump administration Gaza stabilization efforts. The UN-backed Board of Peace swiftly denied shutdown plans, affirming the center's role in ceasefire monitoring and aid oversight remains operational after scaling back. With the deadline two days away and no escalation signals in fragile Israel-Hamas truce dynamics, traders see slim odds of a late announcement; only a sudden diplomatic rupture or policy reversal could shift this.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States government or military publicly announces that the Civil Military Coordination Center (CMCC) located in Kiryat Gat, Israel will be shut down, absorbed into a successor entity, or that all United States military personnel will be withdrawn from the Center, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the announced shutdown, closure, transition, or withdrawal has actually occurred.
Announcements of partial personnel reductions will not alone qualify. However, an announcement that CMCC will be absorbed into a successor entity may qualify even if some US military personnel remain in the successor entity.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying announcement within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the announced shutdown, closure, transition, or withdrawal has actually occurred.
Announcements of partial personnel reductions will not alone qualify. However, an announcement that CMCC will be absorbed into a successor entity may qualify even if some US military personnel remain in the successor entity.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$9,189End Date
May 15, 2026Market Opened
May 1, 2026, 5:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects near-certainty at 99.8% against a US announcement shutting down the Gaza military center—likely referring to the Civil-Military Coordination Centre (CMCC) in southern Israel—by May 15, driven by the absence of any official White House, Department of Defense, or State Department statement despite early May Reuters reporting on potential closure amid stalling Trump administration Gaza stabilization efforts. The UN-backed Board of Peace swiftly denied shutdown plans, affirming the center's role in ceasefire monitoring and aid oversight remains operational after scaling back. With the deadline two days away and no escalation signals in fragile Israel-Hamas truce dynamics, traders see slim odds of a late announcement; only a sudden diplomatic rupture or policy reversal could shift this.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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