Despite mounting pressure from coalition partners over military conscription and recent polls showing Likud trailing potential opposition alliances, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has continued to lead his party’s push for early Knesset dissolution and affirmed his intention to head the Likud list in the October 27 vote. Coalition legislation introduced this week to advance elections to late summer or early fall reflects his active role in shaping the timetable rather than any withdrawal signal. Traders assign an 89 percent implied probability that he will not announce his exit by July 31, consistent with his repeated public commitments and the absence of any leadership transition moves within Likud.