The high probability that National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir will remain in office through June 30 stems from the Israeli High Court’s April 2026 rulings, which imposed temporary limits on his police-related powers but declined to order Prime Minister Netanyahu to dismiss him despite petitions alleging interference in promotions and operations. Netanyahu’s coalition stability depends on retaining the support of Ben-Gvir’s Otzma Yehudit party, and recent public actions—including his May Temple Mount visit asserting Israeli sovereignty and policy on Jewish prayer—show him continuing to exercise ministerial authority without signs of resignation or imminent removal. Traders’ consensus reflects these institutional and political barriers, though future court developments or coalition shifts could still alter the timeline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
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Jun 30, 2026
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Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Itamar Ben-Gvir ceases to be the Israeli Minister of National Security for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Ben-Gvir's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Itamar Ben-Gvir and the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The high probability that National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir will remain in office through June 30 stems from the Israeli High Court’s April 2026 rulings, which imposed temporary limits on his police-related powers but declined to order Prime Minister Netanyahu to dismiss him despite petitions alleging interference in promotions and operations. Netanyahu’s coalition stability depends on retaining the support of Ben-Gvir’s Otzma Yehudit party, and recent public actions—including his May Temple Mount visit asserting Israeli sovereignty and policy on Jewish prayer—show him continuing to exercise ministerial authority without signs of resignation or imminent removal. Traders’ consensus reflects these institutional and political barriers, though future court developments or coalition shifts could still alter the timeline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Itamar Ben-Gvir ceases to be the Israeli Minister of National Security for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Ben-Gvir's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Itamar Ben-Gvir and the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Ben-Gvir's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Itamar Ben-Gvir and the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 16, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
Volume
$2,115End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 16, 2026, 10:41 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Itamar Ben-Gvir ceases to be the Israeli Minister of National Security for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Ben-Gvir's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Itamar Ben-Gvir and the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The high probability that National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir will remain in office through June 30 stems from the Israeli High Court’s April 2026 rulings, which imposed temporary limits on his police-related powers but declined to order Prime Minister Netanyahu to dismiss him despite petitions alleging interference in promotions and operations. Netanyahu’s coalition stability depends on retaining the support of Ben-Gvir’s Otzma Yehudit party, and recent public actions—including his May Temple Mount visit asserting Israeli sovereignty and policy on Jewish prayer—show him continuing to exercise ministerial authority without signs of resignation or imminent removal. Traders’ consensus reflects these institutional and political barriers, though future court developments or coalition shifts could still alter the timeline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Itamar Ben-Gvir ceases to be the Israeli Minister of National Security for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Ben-Gvir's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Itamar Ben-Gvir and the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Ben-Gvir's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Itamar Ben-Gvir and the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,115End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 16, 2026, 10:41 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The high probability that National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir will remain in office through June 30 stems from the Israeli High Court’s April 2026 rulings, which imposed temporary limits on his police-related powers but declined to order Prime Minister Netanyahu to dismiss him despite petitions alleging interference in promotions and operations. Netanyahu’s coalition stability depends on retaining the support of Ben-Gvir’s Otzma Yehudit party, and recent public actions—including his May Temple Mount visit asserting Israeli sovereignty and policy on Jewish prayer—show him continuing to exercise ministerial authority without signs of resignation or imminent removal. Traders’ consensus reflects these institutional and political barriers, though future court developments or coalition shifts could still alter the timeline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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