Trader consensus on a "No" outcome reflects the absence of active, advanced normalization talks with any major candidate country capable of completing the required bilateral agreements, public announcements, and formal ceremonies within the remaining days before June 30. Kazakhstan's accession in late 2025 marked the most recent expansion, while subsequent U.S. diplomatic pushes toward Saudi Arabia, Syria, and others have not produced confirmed breakthroughs or accelerated timelines. Saudi Arabia continues to condition any step on progress toward Palestinian statehood, and no other states have signaled imminent readiness. An unanticipated expedited signing by a country with preexisting informal ties remains theoretically possible but would require overcoming standard procedural and political hurdles in an exceptionally short window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$65,739 交易量
$65,739 交易量
是
$65,739 交易量
$65,739 交易量
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Apr 1, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on a "No" outcome reflects the absence of active, advanced normalization talks with any major candidate country capable of completing the required bilateral agreements, public announcements, and formal ceremonies within the remaining days before June 30. Kazakhstan's accession in late 2025 marked the most recent expansion, while subsequent U.S. diplomatic pushes toward Saudi Arabia, Syria, and others have not produced confirmed breakthroughs or accelerated timelines. Saudi Arabia continues to condition any step on progress toward Palestinian statehood, and no other states have signaled imminent readiness. An unanticipated expedited signing by a country with preexisting informal ties remains theoretically possible but would require overcoming standard procedural and political hurdles in an exceptionally short window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题