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Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?

icon for Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?

Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?

20% 概率
Polymarket
最新
20% 概率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions is met by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. 1. The Blue and White–National Unity Party or the Together Party announce that the Blue and White–National Unity party will merge with, or contest the 2026 Israeli legislative election on a joint candidate list with, the Together party. 2. Benny Gantz or the Together party announce that Benny Gantz will run on the Together party’s candidate list for the 2026 Israeli legislative election. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, offers, invitations, or other non-definitive statements will not count. If the Together party undergoes a merger, name change, or other restructuring, the resulting party or alliance will be considered the Together party for purposes of this market, provided both Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid are members of the resulting party or alliance. If the Blue and White–National Unity party undergoes a merger, name change, or other restructuring, the resulting party, alliance, or candidate list will be considered the Blue and White–National Unity party for purposes of this market, provided Benny Gantz is a member of the resulting party, alliance, or candidate list. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Blue and White–National Unity Party, the Together party, Benny Gantz, Naftali Bennett, and Yair Lapid; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent formation of the Together party by Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid on April 26 has left Benny Gantz outside the new centrist slate, with no merger talks reported in the following weeks. Gantz publicly criticized the alliance for potentially fragmenting the opposition and harming prospects against the Netanyahu-led government, while calling instead for a broader Zionist unity bloc. His Blue and White party continues to poll near or below the electoral threshold, and Bennett extended an invitation to Gadi Eisenkot rather than Gantz. With elections slated for later in 2026 and the June 30 deadline approaching rapidly, these factors have produced trader consensus against an agreement materializing in time.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions is met by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

1. The Blue and White–National Unity Party or the Together Party announce that the Blue and White–National Unity party will merge with, or contest the 2026 Israeli legislative election on a joint candidate list with, the Together party.
2. Benny Gantz or the Together party announce that Benny Gantz will run on the Together party’s candidate list for the 2026 Israeli legislative election.

Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, offers, invitations, or other non-definitive statements will not count.

If the Together party undergoes a merger, name change, or other restructuring, the resulting party or alliance will be considered the Together party for purposes of this market, provided both Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid are members of the resulting party or alliance.

If the Blue and White–National Unity party undergoes a merger, name change, or other restructuring, the resulting party, alliance, or candidate list will be considered the Blue and White–National Unity party for purposes of this market, provided Benny Gantz is a member of the resulting party, alliance, or candidate list.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Blue and White–National Unity Party, the Together party, Benny Gantz, Naftali Bennett, and Yair Lapid; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,861
结束日期
2026-06-30
市场开放时间
Apr 29, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions is met by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. 1. The Blue and White–National Unity Party or the Together Party announce that the Blue and White–National Unity party will merge with, or contest the 2026 Israeli legislative election on a joint candidate list with, the Together party. 2. Benny Gantz or the Together party announce that Benny Gantz will run on the Together party’s candidate list for the 2026 Israeli legislative election. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, offers, invitations, or other non-definitive statements will not count. If the Together party undergoes a merger, name change, or other restructuring, the resulting party or alliance will be considered the Together party for purposes of this market, provided both Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid are members of the resulting party or alliance. If the Blue and White–National Unity party undergoes a merger, name change, or other restructuring, the resulting party, alliance, or candidate list will be considered the Blue and White–National Unity party for purposes of this market, provided Benny Gantz is a member of the resulting party, alliance, or candidate list. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Blue and White–National Unity Party, the Together party, Benny Gantz, Naftali Bennett, and Yair Lapid; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions is met by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. 1. The Blue and White–National Unity Party or the Together Party announce that the Blue and White–National Unity party will merge with, or contest the 2026 Israeli legislative election on a joint candidate list with, the Together party. 2. Benny Gantz or the Together party announce that Benny Gantz will run on the Together party’s candidate list for the 2026 Israeli legislative election. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, offers, invitations, or other non-definitive statements will not count. If the Together party undergoes a merger, name change, or other restructuring, the resulting party or alliance will be considered the Together party for purposes of this market, provided both Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid are members of the resulting party or alliance. If the Blue and White–National Unity party undergoes a merger, name change, or other restructuring, the resulting party, alliance, or candidate list will be considered the Blue and White–National Unity party for purposes of this market, provided Benny Gantz is a member of the resulting party, alliance, or candidate list. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Blue and White–National Unity Party, the Together party, Benny Gantz, Naftali Bennett, and Yair Lapid; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent formation of the Together party by Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid on April 26 has left Benny Gantz outside the new centrist slate, with no merger talks reported in the following weeks. Gantz publicly criticized the alliance for potentially fragmenting the opposition and harming prospects against the Netanyahu-led government, while calling instead for a broader Zionist unity bloc. His Blue and White party continues to poll near or below the electoral threshold, and Bennett extended an invitation to Gadi Eisenkot rather than Gantz. With elections slated for later in 2026 and the June 30 deadline approaching rapidly, these factors have produced trader consensus against an agreement materializing in time.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions is met by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

1. The Blue and White–National Unity Party or the Together Party announce that the Blue and White–National Unity party will merge with, or contest the 2026 Israeli legislative election on a joint candidate list with, the Together party.
2. Benny Gantz or the Together party announce that Benny Gantz will run on the Together party’s candidate list for the 2026 Israeli legislative election.

Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, offers, invitations, or other non-definitive statements will not count.

If the Together party undergoes a merger, name change, or other restructuring, the resulting party or alliance will be considered the Together party for purposes of this market, provided both Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid are members of the resulting party or alliance.

If the Blue and White–National Unity party undergoes a merger, name change, or other restructuring, the resulting party, alliance, or candidate list will be considered the Blue and White–National Unity party for purposes of this market, provided Benny Gantz is a member of the resulting party, alliance, or candidate list.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Blue and White–National Unity Party, the Together party, Benny Gantz, Naftali Bennett, and Yair Lapid; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,861
结束日期
2026-06-30
市场开放时间
Apr 29, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions is met by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. 1. The Blue and White–National Unity Party or the Together Party announce that the Blue and White–National Unity party will merge with, or contest the 2026 Israeli legislative election on a joint candidate list with, the Together party. 2. Benny Gantz or the Together party announce that Benny Gantz will run on the Together party’s candidate list for the 2026 Israeli legislative election. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, offers, invitations, or other non-definitive statements will not count. If the Together party undergoes a merger, name change, or other restructuring, the resulting party or alliance will be considered the Together party for purposes of this market, provided both Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid are members of the resulting party or alliance. If the Blue and White–National Unity party undergoes a merger, name change, or other restructuring, the resulting party, alliance, or candidate list will be considered the Blue and White–National Unity party for purposes of this market, provided Benny Gantz is a member of the resulting party, alliance, or candidate list. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Blue and White–National Unity Party, the Together party, Benny Gantz, Naftali Bennett, and Yair Lapid; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?"是 Polymarket 上的一个预测市场,交易者根据自己对事件是否会发生的判断买卖"是"或"否"的份额。当前社区预测的概率为 20%("Yes")。例如,如果"是"的价格为 20¢,则市场集体认为该事件发生的概率为 20%。这些赔率会随着交易者对新动态和信息的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Apr 29, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?"上交易,只需选择你认为答案是"是"还是"否"。每一方都有一个反映市场隐含概率的当前价格。输入你的金额并点击"交易"。如果你买入"是"的份额且结果为"是",每份支付 $1。如果结果为"否",你的"是"份额支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额以锁定利润或止损。

"Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?"的当前概率为 20%("Yes")。这意味着 Polymarket 社区目前认为该事件发生的概率为 20%。这些赔率基于实际交易实时更新,持续提供市场预期信号。

"Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。