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icon for Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by...?
Politics·Israel Election

Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by...?

icon for Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by...?
Politics·Israel Election

Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by...?

$66,499 交易量

2026-07-31
Polymarket

$66,499 交易量

Polymarket

July 31

$66,205 交易量

4%

September 30

$294 交易量

11%

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Netanyahu has publicly reaffirmed his candidacy for Israel's October 2026 legislative election, stating in mid-June that he intends to run and win as Likud leader.** Recent polling shows his party maintaining a leading position within the right-wing bloc despite coalition strains and regional security pressures, with no formal withdrawal signals or health-related announcements. Knesset dissolution proceedings from May opened the path to a possible snap vote in September or October, but Netanyahu has focused on advancing his agenda and securing coalition support ahead of the contest. Traders assign only an 8% chance of dropout by July 31 because his repeated commitments, party backing, and competitive standing make an abrupt exit in the coming weeks improbable absent major unforeseen developments.

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$66,499
结束日期
2026-09-30
市场开放时间
Apr 29, 2026, 7:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Netanyahu has publicly reaffirmed his candidacy for Israel's October 2026 legislative election, stating in mid-June that he intends to run and win as Likud leader.** Recent polling shows his party maintaining a leading position within the right-wing bloc despite coalition strains and regional security pressures, with no formal withdrawal signals or health-related announcements. Knesset dissolution proceedings from May opened the path to a possible snap vote in September or October, but Netanyahu has focused on advancing his agenda and securing coalition support ahead of the contest. Traders assign only an 8% chance of dropout by July 31 because his repeated commitments, party backing, and competitive standing make an abrupt exit in the coming weeks improbable absent major unforeseen developments.

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$66,499
结束日期
2026-09-30
市场开放时间
Apr 29, 2026, 7:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by...?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"September 30"，概率为 11%，其次是"July 31"，概率为 4%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 11¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 11%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by...?"已产生 $66.5K 的总交易量（自Apr 29, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by...?"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by...?"的当前领先者是"September 30"，概率为 11%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 11%。紧随其后的结果是"July 31"，概率为 4%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by...?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。