Recent polling ahead of Israel's scheduled 2026 Knesset elections, potentially advanced to late summer by the ruling coalition's dissolution bill, shows Likud and allied right-wing parties holding roughly 50 seats while the Bennett-Lapid "Together" bloc and other opposition groups approach but fall short of 61 without Arab party support. This fragmentation stems from coalition strains over ultra-Orthodox draft exemptions and post-conflict priorities, yet Israel's proportional representation system has repeatedly enabled majority governments through extended negotiations rather than immediate new votes. Traders therefore price the probability of a hung parliament—defined as no workable coalition forming before fresh elections—at just 35 percent, reflecting the historical pattern of bloc realignments and institutional incentives for stability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-10-27
最新
最新
2026-10-27
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Israel in 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, following the next election for the Israeli Knesset, a new Knesset election is called prior to any government being formed. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Government formation refers to a political coalition or government being approved by an investiture vote of the Knesset.
An election will be considered called if the Knesset is dissolved, or if a new Knesset election is otherwise officially announced by the Israeli government.
If a government is formed following the election before a new Knesset election is called, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The failure of a government formation attempt will not alone qualify if no new Knesset election has been called.
If neither occurs by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polling ahead of Israel's scheduled 2026 Knesset elections, potentially advanced to late summer by the ruling coalition's dissolution bill, shows Likud and allied right-wing parties holding roughly 50 seats while the Bennett-Lapid "Together" bloc and other opposition groups approach but fall short of 61 without Arab party support. This fragmentation stems from coalition strains over ultra-Orthodox draft exemptions and post-conflict priorities, yet Israel's proportional representation system has repeatedly enabled majority governments through extended negotiations rather than immediate new votes. Traders therefore price the probability of a hung parliament—defined as no workable coalition forming before fresh elections—at just 35 percent, reflecting the historical pattern of bloc realignments and institutional incentives for stability.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Israel in 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, following the next election for the Israeli Knesset, a new Knesset election is called prior to any government being formed. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Government formation refers to a political coalition or government being approved by an investiture vote of the Knesset.
An election will be considered called if the Knesset is dissolved, or if a new Knesset election is otherwise officially announced by the Israeli government.
If a government is formed following the election before a new Knesset election is called, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The failure of a government formation attempt will not alone qualify if no new Knesset election has been called.
If neither occurs by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, following the next election for the Israeli Knesset, a new Knesset election is called prior to any government being formed. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Government formation refers to a political coalition or government being approved by an investiture vote of the Knesset.
An election will be considered called if the Knesset is dissolved, or if a new Knesset election is otherwise officially announced by the Israeli government.
If a government is formed following the election before a new Knesset election is called, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The failure of a government formation attempt will not alone qualify if no new Knesset election has been called.
If neither occurs by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Apr 29, 2026, 7:30 PM ET
交易量
$106结束日期
2026-10-27市场开放时间
Apr 29, 2026, 7:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Israel in 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, following the next election for the Israeli Knesset, a new Knesset election is called prior to any government being formed. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Government formation refers to a political coalition or government being approved by an investiture vote of the Knesset.
An election will be considered called if the Knesset is dissolved, or if a new Knesset election is otherwise officially announced by the Israeli government.
If a government is formed following the election before a new Knesset election is called, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The failure of a government formation attempt will not alone qualify if no new Knesset election has been called.
If neither occurs by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polling ahead of Israel's scheduled 2026 Knesset elections, potentially advanced to late summer by the ruling coalition's dissolution bill, shows Likud and allied right-wing parties holding roughly 50 seats while the Bennett-Lapid "Together" bloc and other opposition groups approach but fall short of 61 without Arab party support. This fragmentation stems from coalition strains over ultra-Orthodox draft exemptions and post-conflict priorities, yet Israel's proportional representation system has repeatedly enabled majority governments through extended negotiations rather than immediate new votes. Traders therefore price the probability of a hung parliament—defined as no workable coalition forming before fresh elections—at just 35 percent, reflecting the historical pattern of bloc realignments and institutional incentives for stability.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Israel in 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, following the next election for the Israeli Knesset, a new Knesset election is called prior to any government being formed. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Government formation refers to a political coalition or government being approved by an investiture vote of the Knesset.
An election will be considered called if the Knesset is dissolved, or if a new Knesset election is otherwise officially announced by the Israeli government.
If a government is formed following the election before a new Knesset election is called, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The failure of a government formation attempt will not alone qualify if no new Knesset election has been called.
If neither occurs by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, following the next election for the Israeli Knesset, a new Knesset election is called prior to any government being formed. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Government formation refers to a political coalition or government being approved by an investiture vote of the Knesset.
An election will be considered called if the Knesset is dissolved, or if a new Knesset election is otherwise officially announced by the Israeli government.
If a government is formed following the election before a new Knesset election is called, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The failure of a government formation attempt will not alone qualify if no new Knesset election has been called.
If neither occurs by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$106结束日期
2026-10-27市场开放时间
Apr 29, 2026, 7:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent polling ahead of Israel's scheduled 2026 Knesset elections, potentially advanced to late summer by the ruling coalition's dissolution bill, shows Likud and allied right-wing parties holding roughly 50 seats while the Bennett-Lapid "Together" bloc and other opposition groups approach but fall short of 61 without Arab party support. This fragmentation stems from coalition strains over ultra-Orthodox draft exemptions and post-conflict priorities, yet Israel's proportional representation system has repeatedly enabled majority governments through extended negotiations rather than immediate new votes. Traders therefore price the probability of a hung parliament—defined as no workable coalition forming before fresh elections—at just 35 percent, reflecting the historical pattern of bloc realignments and institutional incentives for stability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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