**Recent security alerts from the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, including the September 19, 2026, advisory citing Middle East tensions and risks of rapid escalation, flight disruptions, or airspace closures, reflect ongoing trader focus on regional volatility.** Persistent concerns stem from Iran-related frictions, Hezbollah activity in Lebanon, and Israel-Lebanon border dynamics, which prompted the February 2026 ordered departure of non-emergency personnel and families while leaving core operations intact. The embassy continues routine consular and visa services under a Level 4 “Do Not Travel” advisory, with U.S. personnel travel restrictions in place. Key variables include any escalation in diplomatic or military signaling, outcomes of U.S.-Iran talks, or new incidents that could trigger broader drawdowns. Traders weigh these catalysts against the embassy’s maintained presence and commercial flight availability as indicators of whether conditions cross into full evacuation thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$119,473 交易量
2026-12-31
12月31日
6%
$119,473 交易量
12月31日
$25,371 交易量
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. **Recent security alerts from the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, including the September 19, 2026, advisory citing Middle East tensions and risks of rapid escalation, flight disruptions, or airspace closures, reflect ongoing trader focus on regional volatility.** Persistent concerns stem from Iran-related frictions, Hezbollah activity in Lebanon, and Israel-Lebanon border dynamics, which prompted the February 2026 ordered departure of non-emergency personnel and families while leaving core operations intact. The embassy continues routine consular and visa services under a Level 4 “Do Not Travel” advisory, with U.S. personnel travel restrictions in place. Key variables include any escalation in diplomatic or military signaling, outcomes of U.S.-Iran talks, or new incidents that could trigger broader drawdowns. Traders weigh these catalysts against the embassy’s maintained presence and commercial flight availability as indicators of whether conditions cross into full evacuation thresholds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
市场开放时间： Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
交易量
$119,473结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. **Recent security alerts from the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, including the September 19, 2026, advisory citing Middle East tensions and risks of rapid escalation, flight disruptions, or airspace closures, reflect ongoing trader focus on regional volatility.** Persistent concerns stem from Iran-related frictions, Hezbollah activity in Lebanon, and Israel-Lebanon border dynamics, which prompted the February 2026 ordered departure of non-emergency personnel and families while leaving core operations intact. The embassy continues routine consular and visa services under a Level 4 “Do Not Travel” advisory, with U.S. personnel travel restrictions in place. Key variables include any escalation in diplomatic or military signaling, outcomes of U.S.-Iran talks, or new incidents that could trigger broader drawdowns. Traders weigh these catalysts against the embassy’s maintained presence and commercial flight availability as indicators of whether conditions cross into full evacuation thresholds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
交易量
$119,473结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ET**Recent security alerts from the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, including the September 19, 2026, advisory citing Middle East tensions and risks of rapid escalation, flight disruptions, or airspace closures, reflect ongoing trader focus on regional volatility.** Persistent concerns stem from Iran-related frictions, Hezbollah activity in Lebanon, and Israel-Lebanon border dynamics, which prompted the February 2026 ordered departure of non-emergency personnel and families while leaving core operations intact. The embassy continues routine consular and visa services under a Level 4 “Do Not Travel” advisory, with U.S. personnel travel restrictions in place. Key variables include any escalation in diplomatic or military signaling, outcomes of U.S.-Iran talks, or new incidents that could trigger broader drawdowns. Traders weigh these catalysts against the embassy’s maintained presence and commercial flight availability as indicators of whether conditions cross into full evacuation thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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