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icon for 内塔尼亚胡是否会在...前访问纽约市?

内塔尼亚胡是否会在...前访问纽约市?

icon for 内塔尼亚胡是否会在...前访问纽约市?

内塔尼亚胡是否会在...前访问纽约市?

$425,029 交易量

2026-09-30
Polymarket

$425,029 交易量

Polymarket

9月30日

$169,305 交易量

96%

12月31日

$99,354 交易量

97%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu visits New York City between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A “visit” refers to Netanyahu physically entering any of the five boroughs of New York City: Manhattan, Brooklyn, Queens, the Bronx, or Staten Island. Entering New York City’s territorial waters will not qualify. Merely transiting through New York City airspace will not qualify. Landing at any airport within New York City will qualify only if Netanyahu leaves the airport. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s office confirmed on September 14 that he will travel to New York City from September 23–25 to address the UN General Assembly on September 24, following Yom Kippur and ahead of Sukkot. The brief trip aligns with his pattern of annual UNGA participation and occurs despite earlier statements from New York Mayor Zohran Mamdani questioning the city’s authority to enforce an ICC arrest warrant. Federal diplomatic protections and U.S. non-membership in the ICC limit local enforcement options, while Secret Service coordination and airport security arrangements have advanced without reported disruption. Traders assess these factors alongside scheduled protests and Netanyahu’s domestic political calendar as the primary drivers of visit likelihood.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu visits New York City between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

A “visit” refers to Netanyahu physically entering any of the five boroughs of New York City: Manhattan, Brooklyn, Queens, the Bronx, or Staten Island.

Entering New York City’s territorial waters will not qualify. Merely transiting through New York City airspace will not qualify.

Landing at any airport within New York City will qualify only if Netanyahu leaves the airport.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu visits New York City between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A “visit” refers to Netanyahu physically entering any of the five boroughs of New York City: Manhattan, Brooklyn, Queens, the Bronx, or Staten Island. Entering New York City’s territorial waters will not qualify. Merely transiting through New York City airspace will not qualify. Landing at any airport within New York City will qualify only if Netanyahu leaves the airport. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$425,029
结束日期
2027-01-01
市场开放时间
Jul 22, 2026, 1:35 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu visits New York City between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A “visit” refers to Netanyahu physically entering any of the five boroughs of New York City: Manhattan, Brooklyn, Queens, the Bronx, or Staten Island. Entering New York City’s territorial waters will not qualify. Merely transiting through New York City airspace will not qualify. Landing at any airport within New York City will qualify only if Netanyahu leaves the airport. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s office confirmed on September 14 that he will travel to New York City from September 23–25 to address the UN General Assembly on September 24, following Yom Kippur and ahead of Sukkot. The brief trip aligns with his pattern of annual UNGA participation and occurs despite earlier statements from New York Mayor Zohran Mamdani questioning the city’s authority to enforce an ICC arrest warrant. Federal diplomatic protections and U.S. non-membership in the ICC limit local enforcement options, while Secret Service coordination and airport security arrangements have advanced without reported disruption. Traders assess these factors alongside scheduled protests and Netanyahu’s domestic political calendar as the primary drivers of visit likelihood.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu visits New York City between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

A “visit” refers to Netanyahu physically entering any of the five boroughs of New York City: Manhattan, Brooklyn, Queens, the Bronx, or Staten Island.

Entering New York City’s territorial waters will not qualify. Merely transiting through New York City airspace will not qualify.

Landing at any airport within New York City will qualify only if Netanyahu leaves the airport.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu visits New York City between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A “visit” refers to Netanyahu physically entering any of the five boroughs of New York City: Manhattan, Brooklyn, Queens, the Bronx, or Staten Island. Entering New York City’s territorial waters will not qualify. Merely transiting through New York City airspace will not qualify. Landing at any airport within New York City will qualify only if Netanyahu leaves the airport. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$425,029
结束日期
2027-01-01
市场开放时间
Jul 22, 2026, 1:35 AM ET

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"内塔尼亚胡是否会在...前访问纽约市?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 4 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"12月31日",概率为 97%,其次是"9月30日",概率为 96%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 97¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 97%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"内塔尼亚胡是否会在...前访问纽约市?"已产生 $425K 的总交易量(自Jul 22, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"内塔尼亚胡是否会在...前访问纽约市?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 4 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"内塔尼亚胡是否会在...前访问纽约市?"的当前领先者是"12月31日",概率为 97%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 97%。紧随其后的结果是"9月30日",概率为 96%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"内塔尼亚胡是否会在...前访问纽约市?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。