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icon for 内塔尼亚胡是否会在...前访问纽约市?

内塔尼亚胡是否会在...前访问纽约市?

icon for 内塔尼亚胡是否会在...前访问纽约市?

内塔尼亚胡是否会在...前访问纽约市?

$422,777 交易量

2026-09-30
Polymarket

$422,777 交易量

Polymarket

9月30日

$167,052 交易量

96%

12月31日

$99,354 交易量

97%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu visits New York City between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A “visit” refers to Netanyahu physically entering any of the five boroughs of New York City: Manhattan, Brooklyn, Queens, the Bronx, or Staten Island. Entering New York City’s territorial waters will not qualify. Merely transiting through New York City airspace will not qualify. Landing at any airport within New York City will qualify only if Netanyahu leaves the airport. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s office confirmed on September 14 that he will travel to New York City from September 23 to 25 to address the UN General Assembly on September 24. This scheduled appearance aligns with his pattern of annual UNGA participation and occurs after New York Mayor Zohran Mamdani acknowledged in July that city authorities lack power to enforce the ICC arrest warrant against him. Federal diplomatic protections and U.S. non-participation in the ICC further reduce legal barriers. Expected protests and security arrangements, including possible alternative airport routing, represent the main near-term variables. The visit timing, positioned after Yom Kippur and before Sukkot, positions the General Assembly session as the dominant near-term catalyst for any related prediction market.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu visits New York City between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

A “visit” refers to Netanyahu physically entering any of the five boroughs of New York City: Manhattan, Brooklyn, Queens, the Bronx, or Staten Island.

Entering New York City’s territorial waters will not qualify. Merely transiting through New York City airspace will not qualify.

Landing at any airport within New York City will qualify only if Netanyahu leaves the airport.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu visits New York City between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A “visit” refers to Netanyahu physically entering any of the five boroughs of New York City: Manhattan, Brooklyn, Queens, the Bronx, or Staten Island. Entering New York City’s territorial waters will not qualify. Merely transiting through New York City airspace will not qualify. Landing at any airport within New York City will qualify only if Netanyahu leaves the airport. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$422,777
结束日期
2027-01-01
市场开放时间
Jul 22, 2026, 1:35 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu visits New York City between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A “visit” refers to Netanyahu physically entering any of the five boroughs of New York City: Manhattan, Brooklyn, Queens, the Bronx, or Staten Island. Entering New York City’s territorial waters will not qualify. Merely transiting through New York City airspace will not qualify. Landing at any airport within New York City will qualify only if Netanyahu leaves the airport. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s office confirmed on September 14 that he will travel to New York City from September 23 to 25 to address the UN General Assembly on September 24. This scheduled appearance aligns with his pattern of annual UNGA participation and occurs after New York Mayor Zohran Mamdani acknowledged in July that city authorities lack power to enforce the ICC arrest warrant against him. Federal diplomatic protections and U.S. non-participation in the ICC further reduce legal barriers. Expected protests and security arrangements, including possible alternative airport routing, represent the main near-term variables. The visit timing, positioned after Yom Kippur and before Sukkot, positions the General Assembly session as the dominant near-term catalyst for any related prediction market.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu visits New York City between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

A “visit” refers to Netanyahu physically entering any of the five boroughs of New York City: Manhattan, Brooklyn, Queens, the Bronx, or Staten Island.

Entering New York City’s territorial waters will not qualify. Merely transiting through New York City airspace will not qualify.

Landing at any airport within New York City will qualify only if Netanyahu leaves the airport.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu visits New York City between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A “visit” refers to Netanyahu physically entering any of the five boroughs of New York City: Manhattan, Brooklyn, Queens, the Bronx, or Staten Island. Entering New York City’s territorial waters will not qualify. Merely transiting through New York City airspace will not qualify. Landing at any airport within New York City will qualify only if Netanyahu leaves the airport. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$422,777
结束日期
2027-01-01
市场开放时间
Jul 22, 2026, 1:35 AM ET

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"内塔尼亚胡是否会在...前访问纽约市?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 4 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"12月31日",概率为 97%,其次是"9月30日",概率为 96%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 97¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 97%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"内塔尼亚胡是否会在...前访问纽约市?"已产生 $422.8K 的总交易量(自Jul 22, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"内塔尼亚胡是否会在...前访问纽约市?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 4 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"内塔尼亚胡是否会在...前访问纽约市?"的当前领先者是"12月31日",概率为 97%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 97%。紧随其后的结果是"9月30日",概率为 96%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"内塔尼亚胡是否会在...前访问纽约市?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。