Yemen's Houthi rebels launched a drone toward Eilat in southern Israel on May 12, 2026—the first such attack since early April—which Israeli defenses intercepted without activating sirens, heightening tensions amid ongoing Red Sea disruptions. This follows the Houthis' resumption of ballistic missile and drone strikes on Israel starting March 28, 2026, in coordination with Iran-aligned groups, marking their entry into the broader regional conflict. Israel has historically responded to Houthi attacks with airstrikes on Yemeni military targets, including ports, airports, and command centers, as seen in prior operations. Traders weigh escalation risks against de-escalation signals, with no confirmed Israeli action against Yemen in the past 30 days despite provocations; upcoming diplomatic talks or further Houthi launches could shift dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$1,727,698 交易量
2026-05-31
5月31日
10%
6月30日
22%
$1,727,698 交易量
5月31日
$112,674 交易量
10%
6月30日
$462,013 交易量
22%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Yemen's Houthi rebels launched a drone toward Eilat in southern Israel on May 12, 2026—the first such attack since early April—which Israeli defenses intercepted without activating sirens, heightening tensions amid ongoing Red Sea disruptions. This follows the Houthis' resumption of ballistic missile and drone strikes on Israel starting March 28, 2026, in coordination with Iran-aligned groups, marking their entry into the broader regional conflict. Israel has historically responded to Houthi attacks with airstrikes on Yemeni military targets, including ports, airports, and command centers, as seen in prior operations. Traders weigh escalation risks against de-escalation signals, with no confirmed Israeli action against Yemen in the past 30 days despite provocations; upcoming diplomatic talks or further Houthi launches could shift dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Mar 18, 2026, 1:43 PM ET
交易量
$1,727,698结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Mar 18, 2026, 1:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Yemen's Houthi rebels launched a drone toward Eilat in southern Israel on May 12, 2026—the first such attack since early April—which Israeli defenses intercepted without activating sirens, heightening tensions amid ongoing Red Sea disruptions. This follows the Houthis' resumption of ballistic missile and drone strikes on Israel starting March 28, 2026, in coordination with Iran-aligned groups, marking their entry into the broader regional conflict. Israel has historically responded to Houthi attacks with airstrikes on Yemeni military targets, including ports, airports, and command centers, as seen in prior operations. Traders weigh escalation risks against de-escalation signals, with no confirmed Israeli action against Yemen in the past 30 days despite provocations; upcoming diplomatic talks or further Houthi launches could shift dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,727,698结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Mar 18, 2026, 1:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Yemen's Houthi rebels launched a drone toward Eilat in southern Israel on May 12, 2026—the first such attack since early April—which Israeli defenses intercepted without activating sirens, heightening tensions amid ongoing Red Sea disruptions. This follows the Houthis' resumption of ballistic missile and drone strikes on Israel starting March 28, 2026, in coordination with Iran-aligned groups, marking their entry into the broader regional conflict. Israel has historically responded to Houthi attacks with airstrikes on Yemeni military targets, including ports, airports, and command centers, as seen in prior operations. Traders weigh escalation risks against de-escalation signals, with no confirmed Israeli action against Yemen in the past 30 days despite provocations; upcoming diplomatic talks or further Houthi launches could shift dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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