President Masoud Pezeshkian remains in office without any constitutional vacancy that would trigger a snap presidential election under Iran's framework, which requires such a vote within 50 days only after death, resignation, or confirmed incapacity, with the Guardian Council designating an interim leader. No qualifying events have materialized in recent weeks, despite occasional unverified reports of internal strains, and Pezeshkian's schedule of public engagements with Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei continues without interruption. The standard four-year cycle points to the next contest in 2028, reinforcing trader consensus at 98.6 percent against an election by June 30. A sudden leadership transition before the resolution date stands as the primary scenario that could still shift probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$696,618 交易量
$696,618 交易量
2026-06-30
是
$696,618 交易量
$696,618 交易量
2026-06-30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Masoud Pezeshkian remains in office without any constitutional vacancy that would trigger a snap presidential election under Iran's framework, which requires such a vote within 50 days only after death, resignation, or confirmed incapacity, with the Guardian Council designating an interim leader. No qualifying events have materialized in recent weeks, despite occasional unverified reports of internal strains, and Pezeshkian's schedule of public engagements with Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei continues without interruption. The standard four-year cycle points to the next contest in 2028, reinforcing trader consensus at 98.6 percent against an election by June 30. A sudden leadership transition before the resolution date stands as the primary scenario that could still shift probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Mar 1, 2026, 3:09 PM ET
交易量
$696,618结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Mar 1, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Masoud Pezeshkian remains in office without any constitutional vacancy that would trigger a snap presidential election under Iran's framework, which requires such a vote within 50 days only after death, resignation, or confirmed incapacity, with the Guardian Council designating an interim leader. No qualifying events have materialized in recent weeks, despite occasional unverified reports of internal strains, and Pezeshkian's schedule of public engagements with Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei continues without interruption. The standard four-year cycle points to the next contest in 2028, reinforcing trader consensus at 98.6 percent against an election by June 30. A sudden leadership transition before the resolution date stands as the primary scenario that could still shift probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$696,618结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Mar 1, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Masoud Pezeshkian remains in office without any constitutional vacancy that would trigger a snap presidential election under Iran's framework, which requires such a vote within 50 days only after death, resignation, or confirmed incapacity, with the Guardian Council designating an interim leader. No qualifying events have materialized in recent weeks, despite occasional unverified reports of internal strains, and Pezeshkian's schedule of public engagements with Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei continues without interruption. The standard four-year cycle points to the next contest in 2028, reinforcing trader consensus at 98.6 percent against an election by June 30. A sudden leadership transition before the resolution date stands as the primary scenario that could still shift probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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