**Iran’s next presidential election remains scheduled for 2028 under the constitution following President Masoud Pezeshkian’s 2024 victory.** The Supreme Leader’s death in February 2026 and the subsequent election of Mojtaba Khamenei by the Assembly of Experts in March created a leadership transition but did not alter presidential term limits or prompt early voting. Iranian law ties presidential elections to the fixed four-year cycle unless the president dies, resigns, or is removed, none of which apply to the incumbent. No official announcements, Guardian Council actions, or legislative moves have signaled a snap contest before 2027. Prediction markets price the probability of an election by early 2027 at low single digits to low teens, reflecting trader consensus that the current administration will serve its term absent unforeseen crises. Scheduled events such as potential local council votes or policy deadlines offer no direct link to presidential timing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$767,419 交易量
2026-12-31
12月31日
9%
$767,419 交易量
12月31日
$205 交易量
9%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Iran’s next presidential election remains scheduled for 2028 under the constitution following President Masoud Pezeshkian’s 2024 victory.** The Supreme Leader’s death in February 2026 and the subsequent election of Mojtaba Khamenei by the Assembly of Experts in March created a leadership transition but did not alter presidential term limits or prompt early voting. Iranian law ties presidential elections to the fixed four-year cycle unless the president dies, resigns, or is removed, none of which apply to the incumbent. No official announcements, Guardian Council actions, or legislative moves have signaled a snap contest before 2027. Prediction markets price the probability of an election by early 2027 at low single digits to low teens, reflecting trader consensus that the current administration will serve its term absent unforeseen crises. Scheduled events such as potential local council votes or policy deadlines offer no direct link to presidential timing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jun 30, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
交易量
$767,419结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Jun 30, 2026, 7:27 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Iran’s next presidential election remains scheduled for 2028 under the constitution following President Masoud Pezeshkian’s 2024 victory.** The Supreme Leader’s death in February 2026 and the subsequent election of Mojtaba Khamenei by the Assembly of Experts in March created a leadership transition but did not alter presidential term limits or prompt early voting. Iranian law ties presidential elections to the fixed four-year cycle unless the president dies, resigns, or is removed, none of which apply to the incumbent. No official announcements, Guardian Council actions, or legislative moves have signaled a snap contest before 2027. Prediction markets price the probability of an election by early 2027 at low single digits to low teens, reflecting trader consensus that the current administration will serve its term absent unforeseen crises. Scheduled events such as potential local council votes or policy deadlines offer no direct link to presidential timing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$767,419结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Jun 30, 2026, 7:27 PM ET**Iran’s next presidential election remains scheduled for 2028 under the constitution following President Masoud Pezeshkian’s 2024 victory.** The Supreme Leader’s death in February 2026 and the subsequent election of Mojtaba Khamenei by the Assembly of Experts in March created a leadership transition but did not alter presidential term limits or prompt early voting. Iranian law ties presidential elections to the fixed four-year cycle unless the president dies, resigns, or is removed, none of which apply to the incumbent. No official announcements, Guardian Council actions, or legislative moves have signaled a snap contest before 2027. Prediction markets price the probability of an election by early 2027 at low single digits to low teens, reflecting trader consensus that the current administration will serve its term absent unforeseen crises. Scheduled events such as potential local council votes or policy deadlines offer no direct link to presidential timing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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