Recent US-brokered direct talks between Israeli and Lebanese officials in Washington have focused on extending a fragile cessation of hostilities, advancing Hezbollah disarmament, and pursuing a broader peace framework, with the third round concluding on May 15 after agreeing to a 45-day ceasefire extension. Hezbollah has publicly rejected participation in these negotiations, insisting on full Israeli withdrawal from southern Lebanon and maintaining its right to resist. Ongoing Israeli strikes and Hezbollah responses continue to test the truce ahead of the extension deadline, while Lebanese domestic divisions and external diplomatic pressure shape prospects for any direct Israeli-Hezbollah engagement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$29,003 交易量
2026-05-31
May 31
3%
$29,003 交易量
May 31
$10,202 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent US-brokered direct talks between Israeli and Lebanese officials in Washington have focused on extending a fragile cessation of hostilities, advancing Hezbollah disarmament, and pursuing a broader peace framework, with the third round concluding on May 15 after agreeing to a 45-day ceasefire extension. Hezbollah has publicly rejected participation in these negotiations, insisting on full Israeli withdrawal from southern Lebanon and maintaining its right to resist. Ongoing Israeli strikes and Hezbollah responses continue to test the truce ahead of the extension deadline, while Lebanese domestic divisions and external diplomatic pressure shape prospects for any direct Israeli-Hezbollah engagement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Apr 17, 2026, 6:35 PM ET
交易量
$29,003结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
Apr 17, 2026, 6:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent US-brokered direct talks between Israeli and Lebanese officials in Washington have focused on extending a fragile cessation of hostilities, advancing Hezbollah disarmament, and pursuing a broader peace framework, with the third round concluding on May 15 after agreeing to a 45-day ceasefire extension. Hezbollah has publicly rejected participation in these negotiations, insisting on full Israeli withdrawal from southern Lebanon and maintaining its right to resist. Ongoing Israeli strikes and Hezbollah responses continue to test the truce ahead of the extension deadline, while Lebanese domestic divisions and external diplomatic pressure shape prospects for any direct Israeli-Hezbollah engagement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$29,003结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
Apr 17, 2026, 6:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent US-brokered direct talks between Israeli and Lebanese officials in Washington have focused on extending a fragile cessation of hostilities, advancing Hezbollah disarmament, and pursuing a broader peace framework, with the third round concluding on May 15 after agreeing to a 45-day ceasefire extension. Hezbollah has publicly rejected participation in these negotiations, insisting on full Israeli withdrawal from southern Lebanon and maintaining its right to resist. Ongoing Israeli strikes and Hezbollah responses continue to test the truce ahead of the extension deadline, while Lebanese domestic divisions and external diplomatic pressure shape prospects for any direct Israeli-Hezbollah engagement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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