A U.S.-brokered framework agreement signed in June 2026 outlines a conditions-based process for limited Israeli redeployments from two pilot zones in southern Lebanon, with the Lebanese Armed Forces assuming security control only after verified disarmament of non-state groups such as Hezbollah. Israeli officials, including Prime Minister Netanyahu and Defense Minister Katz, have stated that forces will maintain the expanded security zone until Hezbollah poses no further threat, rejecting any timeline-driven or comprehensive pullback. Hezbollah rejected the deal as illegitimate and vowed continued resistance, while a trilateral military coordination group oversees implementation. These barriers, alongside the absence of broader disarmament progress since the agreement, shape trader assessments of withdrawal prospects.
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