**Ongoing US-mediated direct negotiations between Israel and Lebanon, focused on ceasefire implementation, Israeli withdrawals from southern Lebanon, and Lebanese army deployment, continue to shape expectations for additional diplomatic meetings.** Multiple rounds have occurred since initial April 2026 talks in Washington, including a framework agreement in late June and the seventh round in Rome from August 4–7, 2026, which ended without a breakthrough. Core sticking points remain the sequencing of Hezbollah disarmament versus full Israeli pullback, with Hezbollah rejecting key elements and Israeli strikes persisting in the south. Lebanese officials have signaled commitment to further sessions on pilot zones and security arrangements, while partial army deployments have followed limited withdrawals. Traders assess near-term meeting probability based on scheduling announcements and any progress signals from mediators amid these entrenched security and sovereignty disputes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$46,809 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
August 31
12%
September 30
80%
$46,809 Vol.
August 31
$45,037 Vol.
12%
September 30
$1,772 Vol.
80%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.**Ongoing US-mediated direct negotiations between Israel and Lebanon, focused on ceasefire implementation, Israeli withdrawals from southern Lebanon, and Lebanese army deployment, continue to shape expectations for additional diplomatic meetings.** Multiple rounds have occurred since initial April 2026 talks in Washington, including a framework agreement in late June and the seventh round in Rome from August 4–7, 2026, which ended without a breakthrough. Core sticking points remain the sequencing of Hezbollah disarmament versus full Israeli pullback, with Hezbollah rejecting key elements and Israeli strikes persisting in the south. Lebanese officials have signaled commitment to further sessions on pilot zones and security arrangements, while partial army deployments have followed limited withdrawals. Traders assess near-term meeting probability based on scheduling announcements and any progress signals from mediators amid these entrenched security and sovereignty disputes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Aug 10, 2026, 6:44 PM ET
Volume
$46,809End Date
Sep 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 6:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.**Ongoing US-mediated direct negotiations between Israel and Lebanon, focused on ceasefire implementation, Israeli withdrawals from southern Lebanon, and Lebanese army deployment, continue to shape expectations for additional diplomatic meetings.** Multiple rounds have occurred since initial April 2026 talks in Washington, including a framework agreement in late June and the seventh round in Rome from August 4–7, 2026, which ended without a breakthrough. Core sticking points remain the sequencing of Hezbollah disarmament versus full Israeli pullback, with Hezbollah rejecting key elements and Israeli strikes persisting in the south. Lebanese officials have signaled commitment to further sessions on pilot zones and security arrangements, while partial army deployments have followed limited withdrawals. Traders assess near-term meeting probability based on scheduling announcements and any progress signals from mediators amid these entrenched security and sovereignty disputes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$46,809End Date
Sep 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 6:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Ongoing US-mediated direct negotiations between Israel and Lebanon, focused on ceasefire implementation, Israeli withdrawals from southern Lebanon, and Lebanese army deployment, continue to shape expectations for additional diplomatic meetings.** Multiple rounds have occurred since initial April 2026 talks in Washington, including a framework agreement in late June and the seventh round in Rome from August 4–7, 2026, which ended without a breakthrough. Core sticking points remain the sequencing of Hezbollah disarmament versus full Israeli pullback, with Hezbollah rejecting key elements and Israeli strikes persisting in the south. Lebanese officials have signaled commitment to further sessions on pilot zones and security arrangements, while partial army deployments have followed limited withdrawals. Traders assess near-term meeting probability based on scheduling announcements and any progress signals from mediators amid these entrenched security and sovereignty disputes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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