Israeli ground operations remain confined to southern Lebanon, with forces securing buffer zones south of the Litani River and conducting targeted strikes on Hezbollah infrastructure in Beirut's southern suburbs (Dahieh) as of mid-June 2026. A U.S.-brokered ceasefire agreed in early June has held tenuously, limiting major advances despite ongoing exchanges, forced displacement orders, and Hezbollah rocket/drone activity. Key drivers include Israel's focus on establishing a security strip near the border rather than deeper incursions, alongside diplomatic pressure for phased withdrawals and Hezbollah disarmament south of the Litani. Escalation risks persist if cross-border attacks intensify, but no verified ground movements toward Beirut have occurred since operations began in March. Traders assess timelines against these southern priorities and fragile truce dynamics.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLes forces israéliennes entrent dans Beyrouth par... ?
Les forces israéliennes entrent dans Beyrouth par... ?
$40,253 Vol.
31 mai 2026
June 30
2%
$40,253 Vol.
June 30
$29,158 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.Israeli ground operations remain confined to southern Lebanon, with forces securing buffer zones south of the Litani River and conducting targeted strikes on Hezbollah infrastructure in Beirut's southern suburbs (Dahieh) as of mid-June 2026. A U.S.-brokered ceasefire agreed in early June has held tenuously, limiting major advances despite ongoing exchanges, forced displacement orders, and Hezbollah rocket/drone activity. Key drivers include Israel's focus on establishing a security strip near the border rather than deeper incursions, alongside diplomatic pressure for phased withdrawals and Hezbollah disarmament south of the Litani. Escalation risks persist if cross-border attacks intensify, but no verified ground movements toward Beirut have occurred since operations began in March. Traders assess timelines against these southern priorities and fragile truce dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
Marché ouvert : May 26, 2026, 3:43 PM ET
Volume
$40,253Date de fin
31 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 26, 2026, 3:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.Israeli ground operations remain confined to southern Lebanon, with forces securing buffer zones south of the Litani River and conducting targeted strikes on Hezbollah infrastructure in Beirut's southern suburbs (Dahieh) as of mid-June 2026. A U.S.-brokered ceasefire agreed in early June has held tenuously, limiting major advances despite ongoing exchanges, forced displacement orders, and Hezbollah rocket/drone activity. Key drivers include Israel's focus on establishing a security strip near the border rather than deeper incursions, alongside diplomatic pressure for phased withdrawals and Hezbollah disarmament south of the Litani. Escalation risks persist if cross-border attacks intensify, but no verified ground movements toward Beirut have occurred since operations began in March. Traders assess timelines against these southern priorities and fragile truce dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
Volume
$40,253Date de fin
31 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 26, 2026, 3:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israeli ground operations remain confined to southern Lebanon, with forces securing buffer zones south of the Litani River and conducting targeted strikes on Hezbollah infrastructure in Beirut's southern suburbs (Dahieh) as of mid-June 2026. A U.S.-brokered ceasefire agreed in early June has held tenuously, limiting major advances despite ongoing exchanges, forced displacement orders, and Hezbollah rocket/drone activity. Key drivers include Israel's focus on establishing a security strip near the border rather than deeper incursions, alongside diplomatic pressure for phased withdrawals and Hezbollah disarmament south of the Litani. Escalation risks persist if cross-border attacks intensify, but no verified ground movements toward Beirut have occurred since operations began in March. Traders assess timelines against these southern priorities and fragile truce dynamics.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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