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Iran Ceasefire predictions & odds

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Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

61%

December 31

$35.5K Vol.

$87.3K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?

4%

June 30

$4M Vol.

$72.8K today

$64.3K Liq.

108

Ends in 3 days

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

1%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$44.7K Liq.

91

Ends in 2 days

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

41%

December 31

$5M Vol.

$391K Liq.

119

Ends in 6 months

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

26%

December 31

$626K Vol.

$225K Liq.

27

Ends in 6 months

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

1%

June 30

$4M Vol.

$37.2K Liq.

978

Ends in 2 days

Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by...?

Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by...?

4%

June 30

$154K Vol.

$16.8K Liq.

31

Ends in 2 days

Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?

Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?

26%

December 31, 2026

$101K Vol.

$17.6K Liq.

2

Ends in 6 months

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

1%

June 30

$3M Vol.

$12.0K Liq.

354

What will happen before GTA VI?

What will happen before GTA VI?

53%

New Playboi Carti Album

$23M Vol.

$873K Liq.

904

Ends in about 1 month

What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?

What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?

95%

President 20+ times

$2.9K Vol.

$4.1K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?

Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?

2%

June 30

$115K Vol.

$24.9K Liq.

8

Ends in 2 days

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

37%

Switzerland

$222K Vol.

$54.0K today

$578K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace by August 31?

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace by August 31?

82%

Abbas Araghchi

$12.9K Vol.

$119K Liq.

1

Ends in 2 months

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

26%

$2M Vol.

$80.2K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?

Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?

11%

December 31, 2026

$2M Vol.

$48.6K Liq.

34

Ends in 6 months

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?

8%

$26.1K Vol.

$22.6K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

12%

July 31

$9M Vol.

$76.2K today

$166K Liq.

595

US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by...?

US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by...?

61%

July 31

$6.3K Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?

US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?

11%

July 31

$70.7K Vol.

$43.2K Liq.

3

Ends in about 1 month

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 110 active markets for Iran Ceasefire that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $55.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “What will happen before GTA VI?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “What will happen before GTA VI?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 53% chance to New Playboi Carti Album . These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

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