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Elections·Main Election

Next Croat President of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

icon for Next Croat President of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
Elections·Main Election

Next Croat President of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

Darijana Filipović 53%

Slaven Kovačević 40%

Zdenko Lučić 4.7%

Polymarket

$14,286 Vol.

Darijana Filipović 53%

Slaven Kovačević 40%

Zdenko Lučić 4.7%

Polymarket

$14,286 Vol.

icon for Darijana Filipović

Darijana Filipović

$4,540 Vol.

53%

icon for Slaven Kovačević

Slaven Kovačević

$6,489 Vol.

40%

icon for Zdenko Lučić

Zdenko Lučić

$3,256 Vol.

5%

The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Croat member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count. If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The October 2026 general election determines the Croat member of Bosnia and Herzegovina’s tripartite Presidency, with voting rules in the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina allowing Bosniak-majority turnout to influence the Croat seat. Trader consensus shows Darijana Filipović of HDZ BiH at 46% and independent Slaven Kovačević, backed by the Democratic Front and tied to incumbent Željko Komšić, at 41.5%, reflecting persistent competition between the party’s organizational strength in Croat-majority cantons and the pattern of broader Federation support for DF-aligned candidates. Zdenko Lučić of the smaller right-leaning coalition trails at 10.8%. Ongoing debates over electoral law amendments that would restrict cross-voting sustain the close positioning, as do pre-election assessments and coalition dynamics ahead of the October vote. Shifts in Federation turnout patterns, HDZ consolidation efforts, or formal reform progress could widen the gap before election day.

The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Croat member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.

Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count.

If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$14,286
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 7:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Croat member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count. If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Croat member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count. If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The October 2026 general election determines the Croat member of Bosnia and Herzegovina’s tripartite Presidency, with voting rules in the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina allowing Bosniak-majority turnout to influence the Croat seat. Trader consensus shows Darijana Filipović of HDZ BiH at 46% and independent Slaven Kovačević, backed by the Democratic Front and tied to incumbent Željko Komšić, at 41.5%, reflecting persistent competition between the party’s organizational strength in Croat-majority cantons and the pattern of broader Federation support for DF-aligned candidates. Zdenko Lučić of the smaller right-leaning coalition trails at 10.8%. Ongoing debates over electoral law amendments that would restrict cross-voting sustain the close positioning, as do pre-election assessments and coalition dynamics ahead of the October vote. Shifts in Federation turnout patterns, HDZ consolidation efforts, or formal reform progress could widen the gap before election day.

The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Croat member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.

Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count.

If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$14,286
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 7:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Croat member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count. If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Next Croat President of Bosnia and Herzegovina?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Darijana Filipović" at 53%, followed by "Slaven Kovačević" at 40%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 53¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next Croat President of Bosnia and Herzegovina?" has generated $14.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 12, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next Croat President of Bosnia and Herzegovina?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next Croat President of Bosnia and Herzegovina?" is "Darijana Filipović" at 53%, meaning the market assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Slaven Kovačević" at 40%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next Croat President of Bosnia and Herzegovina?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.