Trader consensus favors Victor Marx at 69.5% implied probability to win Colorado's Republican gubernatorial primary on June 30, driven by a Cygnal poll from May 7-8 showing his support surging to 59% after voter messaging—more than triple rivals—and leading in name recognition. Marx also tops GOP fundraising with campaigns collectively raising over $20 million as of early May, bolstering his visibility. Scott Bottoms holds second at 17.5% after securing top ballot position with 45% at the April GOP assembly, while state Sen. Barbara Kirkmeyer trails at 16% following her recent debate with Bottoms. Upcoming debates could shift dynamics in this competitive field.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedVictor Marx 70%
Barbara Kirkmeyer 16%
Scott Bottoms 13.5%
Brycen Garrison 1.3%
$97,124 Vol.
$97,124 Vol.
Victor Marx
70%
Barbara Kirkmeyer
16%
Scott Bottoms
13%
Brycen Garrison
1%
Jason Clark
1%
Bob Brinkerhoff
1%
Mark Baisley
1%
Robert Moore
1%
Joshua Griffin
<1%
Greg Lopez
<1%
Will McBride
<1%
Jason Mikesell
<1%
Stevan Gess
<1%
Daniel Thomas
<1%
Jon Gray-Ginsberg
<1%
Victor Marx 70%
Barbara Kirkmeyer 16%
Scott Bottoms 13.5%
Brycen Garrison 1.3%
$97,124 Vol.
$97,124 Vol.
Victor Marx
70%
Barbara Kirkmeyer
16%
Scott Bottoms
13%
Brycen Garrison
1%
Jason Clark
1%
Bob Brinkerhoff
1%
Mark Baisley
1%
Robert Moore
1%
Joshua Griffin
<1%
Greg Lopez
<1%
Will McBride
<1%
Jason Mikesell
<1%
Stevan Gess
<1%
Daniel Thomas
<1%
Jon Gray-Ginsberg
<1%
If no 2026 Colorado Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Colorado Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Market Opened: Dec 5, 2025, 9:57 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Colorado Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Colorado Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Victor Marx at 69.5% implied probability to win Colorado's Republican gubernatorial primary on June 30, driven by a Cygnal poll from May 7-8 showing his support surging to 59% after voter messaging—more than triple rivals—and leading in name recognition. Marx also tops GOP fundraising with campaigns collectively raising over $20 million as of early May, bolstering his visibility. Scott Bottoms holds second at 17.5% after securing top ballot position with 45% at the April GOP assembly, while state Sen. Barbara Kirkmeyer trails at 16% following her recent debate with Bottoms. Upcoming debates could shift dynamics in this competitive field.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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