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icon for Kansas Governor Republican Primary Winner
Elections·Primaries

Kansas Governor Republican Primary Winner

icon for Kansas Governor Republican Primary Winner
Elections·Primaries

Kansas Governor Republican Primary Winner

Ty Masterson 46%

Jeff Colyer 38%

Philip Sarnecki 13.3%

Stacy Rogers 8.8%

Polymarket

$38,328 Vol.

Ty Masterson 46%

Jeff Colyer 38%

Philip Sarnecki 13.3%

Stacy Rogers 8.8%

Polymarket

$38,328 Vol.

Ty Masterson

$10,238 Vol.

46%

Jeff Colyer

$21,472 Vol.

38%

Philip Sarnecki

$2,412 Vol.

13%

Stacy Rogers

$674 Vol.

9%

Vicki Schmidt

$623 Vol.

6%

Scott Schwab

$993 Vol.

2%

Joy Eakins

$662 Vol.

2%

Charlotte O’Hara

$1,253 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Kansas, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Kansas Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Kansas Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.In the crowded Kansas Republican gubernatorial primary set for August 4, trader consensus slightly favors Senate President Ty Masterson at 45.5% over former Governor Jeff Colyer's 37.5%, reflecting a tight race with high undecideds evident in Colyer's recent internal McLaughlin poll showing him at 21% to Masterson's 10% and 44% undecided. Recent Trump White House praise for Masterson and the Republican-led legislature on May 4 has bolstered his momentum post-session, while Colyer notched undefeated statewide straw poll wins through late April, including endorsements from Governor Huckabee Sanders. The contest remains close absent public polling; separation could come from anticipated Trump endorsement, Q2 fundraising reports due in June, or additional debates targeting key GOP voting blocs.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Kansas, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Kansas Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Kansas Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$38,328
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 9, 2025, 6:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Kansas, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Kansas Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Kansas Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Kansas, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Kansas Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Kansas Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.In the crowded Kansas Republican gubernatorial primary set for August 4, trader consensus slightly favors Senate President Ty Masterson at 45.5% over former Governor Jeff Colyer's 37.5%, reflecting a tight race with high undecideds evident in Colyer's recent internal McLaughlin poll showing him at 21% to Masterson's 10% and 44% undecided. Recent Trump White House praise for Masterson and the Republican-led legislature on May 4 has bolstered his momentum post-session, while Colyer notched undefeated statewide straw poll wins through late April, including endorsements from Governor Huckabee Sanders. The contest remains close absent public polling; separation could come from anticipated Trump endorsement, Q2 fundraising reports due in June, or additional debates targeting key GOP voting blocs.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Kansas, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Kansas Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Kansas Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$38,328
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 9, 2025, 6:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Kansas, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Kansas Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Kansas Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Kansas Governor Republican Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ty Masterson" at 46%, followed by "Jeff Colyer" at 38%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 46¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Kansas Governor Republican Primary Winner" has generated $38.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 9, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Kansas Governor Republican Primary Winner," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Kansas Governor Republican Primary Winner" is "Ty Masterson" at 46%, meaning the market assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jeff Colyer" at 38%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Kansas Governor Republican Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.