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icon for Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Elections·US Election

Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner

icon for Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Elections·US Election

Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Abdul El-Sayed 54%

Mallory McMorrow 26%

Haley Stevens 16.6%

Rashida Tlaib <1%

Polymarket

$530,442 Vol.

Abdul El-Sayed 54%

Mallory McMorrow 26%

Haley Stevens 16.6%

Rashida Tlaib <1%

Polymarket

$530,442 Vol.

Abdul El-Sayed

$102,870 Vol.

54%

Mallory McMorrow

$42,000 Vol.

26%

Haley Stevens

$33,243 Vol.

17%

Rashida Tlaib

$42,021 Vol.

<1%

Sarah Anthony

$30,478 Vol.

<1%

Kristen McDonald Rivet

$125,657 Vol.

<1%

Andy Levin

$27,466 Vol.

<1%

Matt Sahr

$89,285 Vol.

<1%

Dana Nessel

$37,422 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan. If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus favors Abdul El-Sayed as Michigan Democratic Senate primary frontrunner at 53.5% implied probability, propelled by his surge in the May 1-7 Mitchell Research poll showing 28% support—dominating with 80% among voters under 45—versus Haley Stevens at 18% and Mallory McMorrow at 17%. This momentum stems from progressive appeal on Medicare for All, Bernie Sanders endorsement, and backfiring centrist attacks over associations like Hasan Piker, amid high undecideds in prior surveys. Stevens holds 16.7% buoyed by ex-Sen. Debbie Stabenow's "workhorse" endorsement emphasizing general election strength against GOP Mike Rogers, while McMorrow trails at 26% despite fundraising leads. Escalating attacks over ICE votes, deleted posts, and credentials intensify the three-way race ahead of the August 4 primary for the open seat.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan.

If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$530,442
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 15, 2025, 3:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan. If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan. If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus favors Abdul El-Sayed as Michigan Democratic Senate primary frontrunner at 53.5% implied probability, propelled by his surge in the May 1-7 Mitchell Research poll showing 28% support—dominating with 80% among voters under 45—versus Haley Stevens at 18% and Mallory McMorrow at 17%. This momentum stems from progressive appeal on Medicare for All, Bernie Sanders endorsement, and backfiring centrist attacks over associations like Hasan Piker, amid high undecideds in prior surveys. Stevens holds 16.7% buoyed by ex-Sen. Debbie Stabenow's "workhorse" endorsement emphasizing general election strength against GOP Mike Rogers, while McMorrow trails at 26% despite fundraising leads. Escalating attacks over ICE votes, deleted posts, and credentials intensify the three-way race ahead of the August 4 primary for the open seat.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan.

If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$530,442
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 15, 2025, 3:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan. If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Abdul El-Sayed" at 54%, followed by "Mallory McMorrow" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 54¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner" has generated $530.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 15, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is "Abdul El-Sayed" at 54%, meaning the market assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Mallory McMorrow" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.