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Elections·US Election

Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner

icon for Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Elections·US Election

Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Abdul El-Sayed 55%

Mallory McMorrow 26%

Haley Stevens 16.6%

Rashida Tlaib <1%

Polymarket

$530,442 Vol.

Abdul El-Sayed 55%

Mallory McMorrow 26%

Haley Stevens 16.6%

Rashida Tlaib <1%

Polymarket

$530,442 Vol.

Abdul El-Sayed

$102,870 Vol.

55%

Mallory McMorrow

$42,000 Vol.

26%

Haley Stevens

$33,243 Vol.

17%

Rashida Tlaib

$42,021 Vol.

<1%

Sarah Anthony

$30,478 Vol.

<1%

Kristen McDonald Rivet

$125,657 Vol.

<1%

Andy Levin

$27,466 Vol.

<1%

Matt Sahr

$89,285 Vol.

<1%

Dana Nessel

$37,422 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan. If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.A recent Mitchell Research poll conducted May 1-7 among likely Democratic primary voters shows Abdul El-Sayed leading the Michigan U.S. Senate Democratic primary at 28%, ahead of Rep. Haley Stevens (18%) and state Sen. Mallory McMorrow (17%), with 38% undecided, propelling trader consensus to price El-Sayed as the frontrunner at 54% implied probability ahead of the August 4 primary. This surge follows El-Sayed's progressive campaigning alongside Sen. Bernie Sanders and influencers, despite a May 12 Politico report questioning his physician credentials—claims his campaign dismisses as distractions from Medicare for All advocacy. Stevens benefits from a $5.3 million TV ad reservation by the Center for Democratic Priorities defending her immigration oversight record, while McMorrow leverages strong Q1 fundraising; escalating attacks among the trio underscore a competitive three-way race in the open seat left by retiring Sen. Gary Peters.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan.

If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$530,442
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 15, 2025, 3:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan. If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan. If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.A recent Mitchell Research poll conducted May 1-7 among likely Democratic primary voters shows Abdul El-Sayed leading the Michigan U.S. Senate Democratic primary at 28%, ahead of Rep. Haley Stevens (18%) and state Sen. Mallory McMorrow (17%), with 38% undecided, propelling trader consensus to price El-Sayed as the frontrunner at 54% implied probability ahead of the August 4 primary. This surge follows El-Sayed's progressive campaigning alongside Sen. Bernie Sanders and influencers, despite a May 12 Politico report questioning his physician credentials—claims his campaign dismisses as distractions from Medicare for All advocacy. Stevens benefits from a $5.3 million TV ad reservation by the Center for Democratic Priorities defending her immigration oversight record, while McMorrow leverages strong Q1 fundraising; escalating attacks among the trio underscore a competitive three-way race in the open seat left by retiring Sen. Gary Peters.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan.

If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$530,442
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 15, 2025, 3:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan. If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Abdul El-Sayed" at 55%, followed by "Mallory McMorrow" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 55¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 55% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner" has generated $530.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 15, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is "Abdul El-Sayed" at 55%, meaning the market assigns a 55% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Mallory McMorrow" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.