Keisha Lance Bottoms commands over 90% trader consensus as the Georgia Democratic gubernatorial primary frontrunner ahead of the May 19 vote, fueled by an AJC poll from late April showing her at 39%—a double-digit lead over Mike Thurmond's 10%—and an InsiderAdvantage survey at 52%, alongside President Biden's May 1 endorsement, her first post-office backing. Her Atlanta mayor tenure boosts name recognition and urban turnout, with early voting through May 15 reflecting strong momentum despite 35% undecideds potentially forcing a June runoff. Challengers trail distantly; realistic shifts would need a late scandal, legal challenge, health issue, or anti-Bottoms vote consolidation amid depressed base turnout.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKeisha Lance Bottoms 92%
Mike Thurmond 7.4%
Jason Esteves 1.0%
Geoff Duncan <1%
$349,011 Vol.
$349,011 Vol.
Keisha Lance Bottoms
92%
Mike Thurmond
7%
Jason Esteves
1%
Geoff Duncan
<1%
Derrick Jackson
<1%
Ruwa Romman
<1%
Olujimi Brown
<1%
Keisha Lance Bottoms 92%
Mike Thurmond 7.4%
Jason Esteves 1.0%
Geoff Duncan <1%
$349,011 Vol.
$349,011 Vol.
Keisha Lance Bottoms
92%
Mike Thurmond
7%
Jason Esteves
1%
Geoff Duncan
<1%
Derrick Jackson
<1%
Ruwa Romman
<1%
Olujimi Brown
<1%
If no 2026 Georgia Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Georgia Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Market Opened: Dec 5, 2025, 7:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Georgia Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Georgia Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Keisha Lance Bottoms commands over 90% trader consensus as the Georgia Democratic gubernatorial primary frontrunner ahead of the May 19 vote, fueled by an AJC poll from late April showing her at 39%—a double-digit lead over Mike Thurmond's 10%—and an InsiderAdvantage survey at 52%, alongside President Biden's May 1 endorsement, her first post-office backing. Her Atlanta mayor tenure boosts name recognition and urban turnout, with early voting through May 15 reflecting strong momentum despite 35% undecideds potentially forcing a June runoff. Challengers trail distantly; realistic shifts would need a late scandal, legal challenge, health issue, or anti-Bottoms vote consolidation amid depressed base turnout.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions