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icon for Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner
Politics·Serbia

Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner

icon for Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner
Politics·Serbia

Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner

Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia 79%

Student List – Students Win 23%

Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović 3.4%

Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability! 2.4%

Polymarket
NEW

Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia 79%

Student List – Students Win 23%

Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović 3.4%

Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability! 2.4%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia

Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia

$2,121 Vol.

68%

Student List – Students Win

$2,339 Vol.

23%

Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović

$280 Vol.

3%

icon for Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability!

Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability!

$281 Vol.

2%

European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš

$426 Vol.

1%

icon for Usame Zukorlić Movement for Unification

Usame Zukorlić Movement for Unification

$390 Vol.

1%

icon for Rasim Ljajić – Humane (SDP – CDP)

Rasim Ljajić – Humane (SDP – CDP)

$640 Vol.

<1%

icon for Russian Party – Serbia in BRICS – Slobodan Nikolić

Russian Party – Serbia in BRICS – Slobodan Nikolić

$589 Vol.

<1%

SDA of Sandžak – Guardians of Sandžak

$660 Vol.

<1%

icon for Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor

Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor

$503 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections to elect the 250 members of the National Assembly of Serbia are scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve to the electoral list that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Serbia as a result of this election. Electoral lists will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more lists are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If lists remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the list that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named electoral list, as it appears on the ballot and official proclamations, regardless of which parties make up the list or how its members later organize themselves in the National Assembly. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Republic Electoral Commission of Serbia (https://www.rik.parlament.gov.rs/).Aleksandar Vučić’s “United Serbia” list leads the market at 65.5% implied probability because recent Faktor Plus polling places it at 48.6% of the vote, ahead of the Student List at 37.1%, with only a handful of other lists clearing the electoral threshold. The October 25 snap parliamentary election follows Vučić’s June announcement of early voting and his planned resignation, triggered by 18 months of student-led anti-corruption protests after the 2024 Novi Sad railway collapse. SNS benefits from incumbency, established party infrastructure, and Vučić’s nomination as the list leader and prospective prime minister. The Student List has narrowed the gap in some surveys but remains the clear challenger; smaller lists such as Ivica Dačić’s SPS coalition and European Serbia hover near or below 5%, limiting their chances of topping the ballot. Traders appear to weigh the ruling coalition’s organizational edge and recent polling momentum against the compressed campaign timeline and persistent protest-driven volatility.

Parliamentary elections to elect the 250 members of the National Assembly of Serbia are scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026.

This market will resolve to the electoral list that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Serbia as a result of this election.

Electoral lists will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more lists are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If lists remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the list that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named electoral list, as it appears on the ballot and official proclamations, regardless of which parties make up the list or how its members later organize themselves in the National Assembly.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Republic Electoral Commission of Serbia (https://www.rik.parlament.gov.rs/).Parliamentary elections to elect the 250 members of the National Assembly of Serbia are scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve to the electoral list that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Serbia as a result of this election. Electoral lists will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more lists are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If lists remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the list that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named electoral list, as it appears on the ballot and official proclamations, regardless of which parties make up the list or how its members later organize themselves in the National Assembly. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Republic Electoral Commission of Serbia (https://www.rik.parlament.gov.rs/).
Volume
$8,227
End Date
Oct 25, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 6:56 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.rik.parlament.gov.rs/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect the 250 members of the National Assembly of Serbia are scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve to the electoral list that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Serbia as a result of this election. Electoral lists will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more lists are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If lists remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the list that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named electoral list, as it appears on the ballot and official proclamations, regardless of which parties make up the list or how its members later organize themselves in the National Assembly. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Republic Electoral Commission of Serbia (https://www.rik.parlament.gov.rs/).Aleksandar Vučić’s “United Serbia” list leads the market at 65.5% implied probability because recent Faktor Plus polling places it at 48.6% of the vote, ahead of the Student List at 37.1%, with only a handful of other lists clearing the electoral threshold. The October 25 snap parliamentary election follows Vučić’s June announcement of early voting and his planned resignation, triggered by 18 months of student-led anti-corruption protests after the 2024 Novi Sad railway collapse. SNS benefits from incumbency, established party infrastructure, and Vučić’s nomination as the list leader and prospective prime minister. The Student List has narrowed the gap in some surveys but remains the clear challenger; smaller lists such as Ivica Dačić’s SPS coalition and European Serbia hover near or below 5%, limiting their chances of topping the ballot. Traders appear to weigh the ruling coalition’s organizational edge and recent polling momentum against the compressed campaign timeline and persistent protest-driven volatility.

Parliamentary elections to elect the 250 members of the National Assembly of Serbia are scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026.

This market will resolve to the electoral list that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Serbia as a result of this election.

Electoral lists will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more lists are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If lists remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the list that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named electoral list, as it appears on the ballot and official proclamations, regardless of which parties make up the list or how its members later organize themselves in the National Assembly.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Republic Electoral Commission of Serbia (https://www.rik.parlament.gov.rs/).Parliamentary elections to elect the 250 members of the National Assembly of Serbia are scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve to the electoral list that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Serbia as a result of this election. Electoral lists will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more lists are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If lists remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the list that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named electoral list, as it appears on the ballot and official proclamations, regardless of which parties make up the list or how its members later organize themselves in the National Assembly. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Republic Electoral Commission of Serbia (https://www.rik.parlament.gov.rs/).
Volume
$8,227
End Date
Oct 25, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 6:56 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.rik.parlament.gov.rs/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia" at 68%, followed by "Student List – Students Win" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 68¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 68% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 21, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner" is "Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia" at 68%, meaning the market assigns a 68% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Student List – Students Win" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.