Skip to main content

To trade in the US, go to polymarket.us

icon for Russia Election: 2nd Place Party List in Moscow?
Politics·Russia

Russia Election: 2nd Place Party List in Moscow?

icon for Russia Election: 2nd Place Party List in Moscow?
Politics·Russia

Russia Election: 2nd Place Party List in Moscow?

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 97.6%

New People (NL) 10.3%

United Russia (ER) 1.2%

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) <1%

Polymarket

$32,562 Vol.

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 97.6%

New People (NL) 10.3%

United Russia (ER) 1.2%

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) <1%

Polymarket

$32,562 Vol.

icon for Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)

$11,084 Vol.

83%

icon for New People (NL)

New People (NL)

$9,828 Vol.

10%

icon for United Russia (ER)

United Russia (ER)

$4,046 Vol.

1%

icon for Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)

$5,295 Vol.

1%

icon for A Just Russia (SR)

A Just Russia (SR)

$268 Vol.

<1%

icon for Yabloko

Yabloko

$531 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rodina

Rodina

$503 Vol.

<1%

icon for Civic Platform (GP)

Civic Platform (GP)

$385 Vol.

<1%

icon for Russian Party of Pensioners for Social Justice

Russian Party of Pensioners for Social Justice

$383 Vol.

<1%

icon for Russian Ecological Party “The Greens”

Russian Ecological Party “The Greens”

$239 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that receives the second greatest number of votes on the federal party-list ballot in the federal city of Moscow in the 2026 Russian State Duma election. The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received on the federal party-list ballot within the federal city of Moscow. If two or more parties are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If a named party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, votes officially attributed to that successor party will count. If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.**KPRF holds an 82.8% implied probability of finishing second on Moscow’s party-list ballot, far ahead of other systemic opposition parties priced near or below 1%.** United Russia’s expected first-place finish leaves the contest for second among registered parties that cleared registration thresholds. KPRF’s positioning stems from its established regional organization, consistent historical performance in urban centers, and status as the largest non-ruling parliamentary party, reinforced by its completed federal and regional candidate lists in June 2026. Recent polling trends and the three-day vote ending September 20 showed KPRF ahead of LDPR and New People nationally, with similar patterns likely in Moscow given the party’s local infrastructure. Yabloko’s removal from the ballot reduced liberal competition, while wartime conditions and the absence of major late shifts among remaining parties have kept trader consensus stable. Partial national results released September 20–21, showing KPRF at roughly 13–14%, align with the market’s assessment that structural and organizational factors favor KPRF for second place in the capital’s proportional vote.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that receives the second greatest number of votes on the federal party-list ballot in the federal city of Moscow in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.

The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received on the federal party-list ballot within the federal city of Moscow. If two or more parties are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.

Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If a named party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, votes officially attributed to that successor party will count.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that receives the second greatest number of votes on the federal party-list ballot in the federal city of Moscow in the 2026 Russian State Duma election. The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received on the federal party-list ballot within the federal city of Moscow. If two or more parties are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If a named party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, votes officially attributed to that successor party will count. If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volume
$32,562
End Date
Sep 20, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 17, 2026, 1:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that receives the second greatest number of votes on the federal party-list ballot in the federal city of Moscow in the 2026 Russian State Duma election. The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received on the federal party-list ballot within the federal city of Moscow. If two or more parties are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If a named party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, votes officially attributed to that successor party will count. If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.**KPRF holds an 82.8% implied probability of finishing second on Moscow’s party-list ballot, far ahead of other systemic opposition parties priced near or below 1%.** United Russia’s expected first-place finish leaves the contest for second among registered parties that cleared registration thresholds. KPRF’s positioning stems from its established regional organization, consistent historical performance in urban centers, and status as the largest non-ruling parliamentary party, reinforced by its completed federal and regional candidate lists in June 2026. Recent polling trends and the three-day vote ending September 20 showed KPRF ahead of LDPR and New People nationally, with similar patterns likely in Moscow given the party’s local infrastructure. Yabloko’s removal from the ballot reduced liberal competition, while wartime conditions and the absence of major late shifts among remaining parties have kept trader consensus stable. Partial national results released September 20–21, showing KPRF at roughly 13–14%, align with the market’s assessment that structural and organizational factors favor KPRF for second place in the capital’s proportional vote.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that receives the second greatest number of votes on the federal party-list ballot in the federal city of Moscow in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.

The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received on the federal party-list ballot within the federal city of Moscow. If two or more parties are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.

Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If a named party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, votes officially attributed to that successor party will count.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that receives the second greatest number of votes on the federal party-list ballot in the federal city of Moscow in the 2026 Russian State Duma election. The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received on the federal party-list ballot within the federal city of Moscow. If two or more parties are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If a named party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, votes officially attributed to that successor party will count. If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volume
$32,562
End Date
Sep 20, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 17, 2026, 1:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Related

icon for Will Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) finish second on the party-list vote in Saint Petersburg?

Will Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) finish second on the party-list vote in Saint Petersburg?

65%
icon for Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

98%
icon for Will Rodina win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?

Will Rodina win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?

99%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Russia Election: 2nd Place Party List in Moscow?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)" at 83%, followed by "New People (NL)" at 10%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 83¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Russia Election: 2nd Place Party List in Moscow?" has generated $32.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Russia Election: 2nd Place Party List in Moscow?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Russia Election: 2nd Place Party List in Moscow?" is "Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)" at 83%, meaning the market assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "New People (NL)" at 10%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Russia Election: 2nd Place Party List in Moscow?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.