Traders assign the Communist Party of the Russian Federation the leading probability for second place in Russia's September 2026 State Duma elections, reflecting its established position as the main systemic opposition with durable regional organizations that aid results in the 225 single-mandate districts. Recent April FOM surveys place it at 8-13 percent and ahead in face-to-face polling, while VCIOM phone polls show New People surging to 13-17 percent on youth and middle-class appeal backed by selective media exposure. New People trails in organizational depth, however, and the Liberal Democratic Party continues to face challenges from post-2022 leadership changes. Preparations including KPRF primaries and New People's targeted messaging ahead of the mid-June campaign start keep the mixed proportional-constituency dynamics fluid.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRussia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 61%
New People (NL) 25%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 14%
United Russia (ER) 3.5%
$16,158 Vol.
$16,158 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
United Russia (ER)
4%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
61%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
1%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
14%
New People (NL)
25%
Rodina
1%
Civic Platform (GP)
2%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 61%
New People (NL) 25%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 14%
United Russia (ER) 3.5%
$16,158 Vol.
$16,158 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
United Russia (ER)
$2,449 Vol.
4%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
$2,363 Vol.
61%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
$1,667 Vol.
1%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
$2,165 Vol.
14%
New People (NL)
$2,290 Vol.
25%
Rodina
$2,822 Vol.
1%
Civic Platform (GP)
$2,403 Vol.
2%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Traders assign the Communist Party of the Russian Federation the leading probability for second place in Russia's September 2026 State Duma elections, reflecting its established position as the main systemic opposition with durable regional organizations that aid results in the 225 single-mandate districts. Recent April FOM surveys place it at 8-13 percent and ahead in face-to-face polling, while VCIOM phone polls show New People surging to 13-17 percent on youth and middle-class appeal backed by selective media exposure. New People trails in organizational depth, however, and the Liberal Democratic Party continues to face challenges from post-2022 leadership changes. Preparations including KPRF primaries and New People's targeted messaging ahead of the mid-June campaign start keep the mixed proportional-constituency dynamics fluid.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Market Opened: Apr 21, 2026, 3:36 PM ET
Volume
$16,158End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 3:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Traders assign the Communist Party of the Russian Federation the leading probability for second place in Russia's September 2026 State Duma elections, reflecting its established position as the main systemic opposition with durable regional organizations that aid results in the 225 single-mandate districts. Recent April FOM surveys place it at 8-13 percent and ahead in face-to-face polling, while VCIOM phone polls show New People surging to 13-17 percent on youth and middle-class appeal backed by selective media exposure. New People trails in organizational depth, however, and the Liberal Democratic Party continues to face challenges from post-2022 leadership changes. Preparations including KPRF primaries and New People's targeted messaging ahead of the mid-June campaign start keep the mixed proportional-constituency dynamics fluid.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Volume
$16,158End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 3:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the Communist Party of the Russian Federation the leading probability for second place in Russia's September 2026 State Duma elections, reflecting its established position as the main systemic opposition with durable regional organizations that aid results in the 225 single-mandate districts. Recent April FOM surveys place it at 8-13 percent and ahead in face-to-face polling, while VCIOM phone polls show New People surging to 13-17 percent on youth and middle-class appeal backed by selective media exposure. New People trails in organizational depth, however, and the Liberal Democratic Party continues to face challenges from post-2022 leadership changes. Preparations including KPRF primaries and New People's targeted messaging ahead of the mid-June campaign start keep the mixed proportional-constituency dynamics fluid.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRelated
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
33%
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
96%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
63%
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions