Skip to main content
icon for Chiayi City Mayor Election Winner
Elections·Main Election

Chiayi City Mayor Election Winner

icon for Chiayi City Mayor Election Winner
Elections·Main Election

Chiayi City Mayor Election Winner

Wang Mei-hui 76%

Chang Chi-kai 16%

Huang Hung-cheng 4.7%

Chen Chia-ping 4.5%

Polymarket

$10,665 Vol.

Wang Mei-hui 76%

Chang Chi-kai 16%

Huang Hung-cheng 4.7%

Chen Chia-ping 4.5%

Polymarket

$10,665 Vol.

icon for Wang Mei-hui

Wang Mei-hui

$7,709 Vol.

76%

icon for Chang Chi-kai

Chang Chi-kai

$1,617 Vol.

16%

icon for Huang Hung-cheng

Huang Hung-cheng

$344 Vol.

5%

icon for Chen Chia-ping

Chen Chia-ping

$248 Vol.

5%

icon for Chen Kai-huang

Chen Kai-huang

$240 Vol.

3%

icon for Weng Shou-liang

Weng Shou-liang

$508 Vol.

<1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Chiayi City as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Wang Mei-hui, the Democratic Progressive Party nominee for Chiayi City mayor in Taiwan’s November 28, 2026 local elections, holds the strongest trader consensus at 78.5% implied probability, reflecting her established legislative profile, the party’s October 2025 nomination, and consistent polling leads over the main challenger. Opposition forces consolidated behind Taiwan People’s Party candidate Chang Chi-kai following KMT-TPP alliance primaries, with KMT declining an independent nominee to back the joint ticket, though this has not narrowed the gap beyond a reported six-point margin in mid-2026 surveys. Lower-priced options such as Huang Hung-cheng, Chen Chia-ping, and Weng Shou-liang register limited support, consistent with the absence of major late-breaking shifts in candidate registration timelines or campaign momentum ahead of the vote.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Chiayi City as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$10,665
End Date
Nov 28, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 9:00 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Chiayi City as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Chiayi City as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Wang Mei-hui, the Democratic Progressive Party nominee for Chiayi City mayor in Taiwan’s November 28, 2026 local elections, holds the strongest trader consensus at 78.5% implied probability, reflecting her established legislative profile, the party’s October 2025 nomination, and consistent polling leads over the main challenger. Opposition forces consolidated behind Taiwan People’s Party candidate Chang Chi-kai following KMT-TPP alliance primaries, with KMT declining an independent nominee to back the joint ticket, though this has not narrowed the gap beyond a reported six-point margin in mid-2026 surveys. Lower-priced options such as Huang Hung-cheng, Chen Chia-ping, and Weng Shou-liang register limited support, consistent with the absence of major late-breaking shifts in candidate registration timelines or campaign momentum ahead of the vote.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Chiayi City as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$10,665
End Date
Nov 28, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 9:00 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Chiayi City as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

Related

icon for Will Tsai Yi-yu win the next Chiayi County Magistrate election?

Will Tsai Yi-yu win the next Chiayi County Magistrate election?

85%
icon for Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?

Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?

91%
icon for Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?

Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?

84%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Chiayi City Mayor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Wang Mei-hui" at 76%, followed by "Chang Chi-kai" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 76¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 76% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Chiayi City Mayor Election Winner" has generated $10.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 14, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Chiayi City Mayor Election Winner," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Chiayi City Mayor Election Winner" is "Wang Mei-hui" at 76%, meaning the market assigns a 76% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Chang Chi-kai" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Chiayi City Mayor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.