FL-09 Republican Primary Winner
$13,588 Vol.
Thomas Chalifoux 48%
Justin Story 39%
Marcus Carter 36%
Howard Steven Rance 36%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Thomas Chalifoux
$0 Vol.
48%
Thomas Chalifoux
$0 Vol.
48%
Justin Story
$7,111 Vol.
39%
Justin Story
$7,111 Vol.
39%
Marcus Carter
$8 Vol.
36%
Marcus Carter
$8 Vol.
36%
Howard Steven Rance
$6,451 Vol.
36%
Howard Steven Rance
$6,451 Vol.
36%
Jorge Malavet
$18 Vol.
32%
Jorge Malavet
$18 Vol.
32%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Created At: Dec 23, 2025, 10:08 PM UTC
Volume
$13,588End Date
Aug 18, 2026Created At
Dec 23, 2025, 10:08 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...$13,588 Vol.
FL-09 Republican Primary Winner
Thomas Chalifoux 48%
Justin Story 39%
Marcus Carter 36%
Howard Steven Rance 36%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Thomas Chalifoux
$0 Vol.
48%
Justin Story
$7,111 Vol.
39%
Marcus Carter
$8 Vol.
36%
Howard Steven Rance
$6,451 Vol.
36%
Jorge Malavet
$18 Vol.
32%
About
Volume
$13,588End Date
Aug 18, 2026Created At
Dec 23, 2025, 10:08 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.