Recent polls show Catalina Lauf and Jim Schwartzel essentially tied in the low-to-mid teens with over a third of voters undecided in the crowded August 18 Republican primary for the open Florida 19th district seat. Recent endorsements from Republican lawmakers Greg Steube and Kat Cammack have given Lauf a modest edge in some surveys, while Schwartzel benefits from deeper local ties as a Naples businessman and a fundraising lead exceeding $2 million. High undecided shares and a fragmented field of more than eight candidates, including Jim Oberweis, have kept the contest close. Additional late endorsements, new polling, or intensified advertising in the final days could shift support among the remaining undecided voters ahead of primary day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCatalina Lauf 45%
Jim Schwartzel 40.9%
Jim Oberweis 11.6%
Madison Cawthorn 2.8%
$48,785 Vol.
$48,785 Vol.

Catalina Lauf
45%

Jim Schwartzel
41%

Jim Oberweis
12%

Madison Cawthorn
3%

Bob Rommel
2%

Spencer Roach
1%
Catalina Lauf 45%
Jim Schwartzel 40.9%
Jim Oberweis 11.6%
Madison Cawthorn 2.8%
$48,785 Vol.
$48,785 Vol.

Catalina Lauf
45%

Jim Schwartzel
41%

Jim Oberweis
12%

Madison Cawthorn
3%

Bob Rommel
2%

Spencer Roach
1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Market Opened: Nov 25, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polls show Catalina Lauf and Jim Schwartzel essentially tied in the low-to-mid teens with over a third of voters undecided in the crowded August 18 Republican primary for the open Florida 19th district seat. Recent endorsements from Republican lawmakers Greg Steube and Kat Cammack have given Lauf a modest edge in some surveys, while Schwartzel benefits from deeper local ties as a Naples businessman and a fundraising lead exceeding $2 million. High undecided shares and a fragmented field of more than eight candidates, including Jim Oberweis, have kept the contest close. Additional late endorsements, new polling, or intensified advertising in the final days could shift support among the remaining undecided voters ahead of primary day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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