Incumbent Republican Austin Scott faces Democrat Kelly Esti in Georgia’s 8th congressional district, a seat with an R+15 partisan lean and consistent Republican margins exceeding 60 percent in recent cycles. Scott advanced unopposed through the Republican primary while Esti secured the Democratic nomination in a low-turnout contest, leaving the general election matchup unchanged since the May primaries. Forecasters rate the race solid or safe Republican, reflecting the district’s rural southern Georgia voter base and limited Democratic infrastructure. Traders assign 96.4 percent probability to an outright first-round winner on November 3 because historical results and structural factors make a majority for the top candidate nearly certain, avoiding the December 1 runoff. A late national swing, candidate withdrawal, or unforeseen turnout surge could theoretically force a runoff, though no such developments have materialized.