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Politics·Main Election

Hsinchu City Mayor Election Winner

icon for Hsinchu City Mayor Election Winner
Politics·Main Election

Hsinchu City Mayor Election Winner

Ann Kao 87%

Chuang Ching-cheng 11.5%

Ho Chih-yung <1%

Polymarket
NEW

Ann Kao 87%

Chuang Ching-cheng 11.5%

Ho Chih-yung <1%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Ann Kao

Ann Kao

$1,305 Vol.

87%

icon for Chuang Ching-cheng

Chuang Ching-cheng

$183 Vol.

12%

icon for Ho Chih-yung

Ho Chih-yung

$231 Vol.

1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Hsinchu City as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Ann Kao maintains a commanding lead in the Hsinchu City mayoral race with an 86.5% implied probability, reflecting her status as incumbent after the 2022 victory and her December 2025 reinstatement following acquittal on corruption charges by the High Court. She also prevailed in a 2025 recall effort. The Democratic Progressive Party nominated former legislator Chuang Ching-cheng in April 2026 as its challenger, yet trader consensus assigns him only an 11.5% chance. The Kuomintang's decision not to field a candidate, announced as part of opposition coordination ahead of the November 28, 2026 vote, has consolidated support behind the independent incumbent. Minor contenders such as Ho Chih-yung register below 1%, underscoring limited viability in the current field. These factors, including incumbency advantages and party alignments, underpin the market's assessment of the contest.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Hsinchu City as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$1,719
End Date
Nov 28, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 8:55 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Hsinchu City as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Hsinchu City as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Ann Kao maintains a commanding lead in the Hsinchu City mayoral race with an 86.5% implied probability, reflecting her status as incumbent after the 2022 victory and her December 2025 reinstatement following acquittal on corruption charges by the High Court. She also prevailed in a 2025 recall effort. The Democratic Progressive Party nominated former legislator Chuang Ching-cheng in April 2026 as its challenger, yet trader consensus assigns him only an 11.5% chance. The Kuomintang's decision not to field a candidate, announced as part of opposition coordination ahead of the November 28, 2026 vote, has consolidated support behind the independent incumbent. Minor contenders such as Ho Chih-yung register below 1%, underscoring limited viability in the current field. These factors, including incumbency advantages and party alignments, underpin the market's assessment of the contest.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Hsinchu City as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$1,719
End Date
Nov 28, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 8:55 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Hsinchu City as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Hsinchu City Mayor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ann Kao" at 87%, followed by "Chuang Ching-cheng" at 12%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 87¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Hsinchu City Mayor Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 14, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Hsinchu City Mayor Election Winner," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Hsinchu City Mayor Election Winner" is "Ann Kao" at 87%, meaning the market assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Chuang Ching-cheng" at 12%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Hsinchu City Mayor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.