Trader consensus on 2026 midterm House turnout centers tightly around 120-130 million votes at 28% apiece for the top bins, exceeding 2022's approximately 111 million amid a larger voting-eligible population nearing 270 million and persistent partisan polarization. Recent record primary turnout in Texas—over 2.2 million Democratic and 2.1 million Republican votes—and elevated Democratic participation in North Carolina signal strong early engagement that could sustain higher participation rates near historical midterm peaks of 45-50%. The contest remains close due to uncertainties in President Trump's approval ratings, economic pressures, and mobilization in battleground states; upcoming primaries through June and evolving generic ballot polls favoring Democrats may tip balances toward higher totals if enthusiasm holds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated130m+ 19%
115-120m 16%
120-125m 12%
110-115m 12%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
<85m
1%
85-90m
1%
90-95m
2%
95-100m
6%
100-105m
1%
105-110m
5%
110-115m
12%
115-120m
16%
120-125m
24%
125-130m
25%
130m+
19%
130m+ 19%
115-120m 16%
120-125m 12%
110-115m 12%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
<85m
$319 Vol.
1%
85-90m
$419 Vol.
1%
90-95m
$1,552 Vol.
2%
95-100m
$269 Vol.
6%
100-105m
$791 Vol.
1%
105-110m
$436 Vol.
5%
110-115m
$526 Vol.
12%
115-120m
$1,025 Vol.
16%
120-125m
$408 Vol.
24%
125-130m
$1,199 Vol.
25%
130m+
$294 Vol.
19%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus on 2026 midterm House turnout centers tightly around 120-130 million votes at 28% apiece for the top bins, exceeding 2022's approximately 111 million amid a larger voting-eligible population nearing 270 million and persistent partisan polarization. Recent record primary turnout in Texas—over 2.2 million Democratic and 2.1 million Republican votes—and elevated Democratic participation in North Carolina signal strong early engagement that could sustain higher participation rates near historical midterm peaks of 45-50%. The contest remains close due to uncertainties in President Trump's approval ratings, economic pressures, and mobilization in battleground states; upcoming primaries through June and evolving generic ballot polls favoring Democrats may tip balances toward higher totals if enthusiasm holds.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Market Opened: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Volume
$7,237End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus on 2026 midterm House turnout centers tightly around 120-130 million votes at 28% apiece for the top bins, exceeding 2022's approximately 111 million amid a larger voting-eligible population nearing 270 million and persistent partisan polarization. Recent record primary turnout in Texas—over 2.2 million Democratic and 2.1 million Republican votes—and elevated Democratic participation in North Carolina signal strong early engagement that could sustain higher participation rates near historical midterm peaks of 45-50%. The contest remains close due to uncertainties in President Trump's approval ratings, economic pressures, and mobilization in battleground states; upcoming primaries through June and evolving generic ballot polls favoring Democrats may tip balances toward higher totals if enthusiasm holds.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Volume
$7,237End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on 2026 midterm House turnout centers tightly around 120-130 million votes at 28% apiece for the top bins, exceeding 2022's approximately 111 million amid a larger voting-eligible population nearing 270 million and persistent partisan polarization. Recent record primary turnout in Texas—over 2.2 million Democratic and 2.1 million Republican votes—and elevated Democratic participation in North Carolina signal strong early engagement that could sustain higher participation rates near historical midterm peaks of 45-50%. The contest remains close due to uncertainties in President Trump's approval ratings, economic pressures, and mobilization in battleground states; upcoming primaries through June and evolving generic ballot polls favoring Democrats may tip balances toward higher totals if enthusiasm holds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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